Dancing with the Stars Season 35 Episode 5 airs live tonight (Tuesday, Oct. 6th) at 8 p.m. ET on ABC and Disney+. Mariah Carey Night is sure to be a hit, with the 12 remaining couples leaving their Yacht Rock paddles behind in favor of Rumbas and Waltzes. The results show closes out the live voting window, and Kalshi traders seem to already have a clear read on who's in trouble.
Without further ado, here are our top DWTS Season 35 Kalshi contracts and why they're worth a buy.
Who's Already Left the Ballroom: Season 35 Elimination Recap
- Premiere Night 1 (Sept. 15): Conner Leavitt & Adele Zaikman
- Premiere Night 2 (Sept. 16): Sarah Jane Nader & Hailey Bills
- Week 2: Viral Hits Night (Sept. 22): Giada De Laurentiis & Alan Bersten
- Week 3: Yacht Rock Night (Sept. 29): Taylor Hanson & Britt Stewart
DWTS Week 4 Kalshi Odds: Top Trading Contracts
The Week 4 Kalshi Dancing with the Stars market is listed as "Episode 5" because the two-night premiere counts as two unique episodes. Each remaining couple is bound to one contract priced between 1¢ and 99¢.
If you're new to prediction markets, it's similar to traditional stock markets as the price is the market's implied probability that each couple is eliminated. These are binary ("YES/NO") contracts, meaning you're trading one-of-two outcomes. For example, a "Yes" on Jackson Olson at 43¢ pays $1 if he goes home Tuesday night, but resolves to no profit if he stays.
Once Dancing with the Stars Week 4 eliminations are official, the market will resolve, meaning the prices will significantly fluctuate until the moment DWTS Kalshi markets close. Here are our top picks ahead of DWTS Season 35 Episode 5.
| 💃 Couple | 🏷️ Eliminated Yes | Price | 🤑 Profit on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Olson & Emma Slater | Jackson Olson | Eliminated Yes (43¢) | $223.62 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Tyler Cameron & Sharna Burgess | Tyler Cameron | Eliminated Yes (25¢) | $380.04 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
| Ciara Miller & Brandon Armstrong | Ciara Miller | Eliminated Yes (20¢) | $473.45 | Trade it on Kalshi! |
Jackson Olson & Emma Slater (43%, Yes 43¢ / No 58¢, -8 pts)
Banana Jackson is set to dance a Waltz to "Without You," a style that has not been kind to him so far. He's posted back-to-back 18/30 scores and has already survived one bottom-three scare during last week's Yacht Rock Night. The judges are well-aware of Olson's penchant for artistry over power, with power being exactly the knock a Waltz tends to expose.
Tyler Cameron & Sharna Burgess (24%, Yes 25¢ / No 76¢, -5 pts)
Cameron is set to perform a Foxtrot to "#Beautiful" after a rocky start to the season that bottomed out with a 17/30 on Yacht Rock Night, which was the lowest score among surviving couples. He's trending upward, but traders still see him as the field's clearest second-tier risk behind Olson.
Ciara Miller & Brandon Armstrong (20%, Yes 20¢ / No 81¢, +1 pts)
Miller will try her hand at a Jazz routine to "Emotions," a fitting title for a couple that has been stuck at 18/30 multiple weeks running. She hasn't cracked the top half of the leaderboard yet this season, and a Jazz score that doesn't move the needle could push her deeper into the elimination conversation.
- Tatyana Ali & Jan Ravnik (9%, +1 pts): Ali danced her way to a 21/30 "breakthrough" as Derek Hough described it on Yacht Rock Night, and a Jazz number to "Fantasy" tonight keeps her comfortably in safe territory.
- Guillermo Rodriguez & Witney Carson (8%, -3 pts): Rodriguez has already posted the season's lowest judges' score on two different occasions, including a 15/30 on Yacht Rock Night. Still, fan support has kept him out of real jeopardy, and tonight's Samba to "Obsessed" may test whether that goodwill can hold.
- Julia Stiles & Ezra Sosa (4%, No Movement): Stiles rebounded from an emotional Week 2 with a 19/30 on Yacht Rock Night. Tonight, she dances a Viennese Waltz to "Vision of Love", pricing her as the field's safest couple.
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DWTS Week 4 Price Analysis: Who Could Actually Get Eliminated?
Jackson Olson has absorbed the sharpest swing of the week, dropping 8 points as traders zero in on his two straight 18-point scores (and his history of nervy bottom-three nights). Tyler Cameron's 5-point slide tells a similar story: a jive-and-foxtrot combination that hasn't separated him from the pack.
Guillermo Rodriguez's 3-point drop looks more like score fatigue than genuine danger. He's been the leaderboard's basement dweller twice already, yet the fan vote has carried him through both times. As such, his price move likely reflects traders pricing in luck running out rather than a true favorite shift.
Ciara Miller and Tatyana Ali's modest upticks suggest the board sees a genuinely contested middle tier rather than a single runaway favorite, even with Olson sitting well clear at 43%.
Remember, the market doesn't close up until it's almost time for the live results show. A standout Jazz or Waltz performance, or a surprise bottom-of-the-pack score for a couple currently priced safe, could still reshape this board before elimination.
How to Trade DWTS Week 4 on Kalshi
Ready to take a position? You can start trading these event contracts in minutes.
- Read a comprehensive Kalshi review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Follow this guide to trading on Kalshi to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the relevant tab on Kalshi to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
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Disclaimer: Prediction markets provide real-time probability estimates based on traded contracts. These prices reflect market sentiment and are not a guarantee of future outcomes. Trading event contracts involves risk; ensure you understand the resolution criteria before taking a position.
