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DraftKings Is Going “All‑In” on Prediction Markets

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DraftKings is making one of its biggest bets ever — and it’s not on a sports team. The company is pouring hundreds of millions of dollars into prediction markets, a fast‑growing way for people to forecast real‑world events. These can include sports outcomes, political results, economic numbers, and more.

“Predictions, especially in sports, are a strategic priority for DraftKings," said DraftKings CEO Jason Robins during the company's Q1 2026 earnings call. "We are planning significant investment in the coming months to improve our offering, build liquidity, and scale customer acquisition. We intend to execute with urgency and establish a leadership position in sports predictions before year-end,” he said.

Prediction markets work a lot like an exchange. They differ from sports bettinglegal online casinos, and even sweepstakes casinos in several ways. Instead of betting against the house, users buy and sell “shares” in possible outcomes. DraftKings believes this could become a major part of its future.

A Massive Investment for 2026

Robins announced that the company plans to invest $200–300 million into prediction markets next year. Most of that money will go toward marketing and customer acquisition, while the rest will support product upgrades and technology.

Robins described this push as being in the “first inning” — meaning it’s still early, but the company sees huge potential. DraftKings wants to become the leader in sports‑related predictions before competitors can catch up.

"Our roadmap is clear, our execution is real, and we intend to establish a leadership position in sports predictions by year-end," Robins said.
This is a big strategic bet by DraftKings to evolve beyond traditional sports betting into a more exchange-style, event-contract platform.
DraftKings is going to invest heavily in prediction markets in 2026. Image Credit: Shutterstock

New Features Coming Soon

DraftKings is working on several upgrades to make predictions a bigger part of its platform:

  • Proprietary exchange — a system that lets users trade event contracts directly
  • Combos and parlays — similar to sports betting, but for predictions
  • Better market‑making — improving liquidity so users can trade more easily
  • Deep integration into the DraftKings “Super App” — making predictions part of the main experience

The plan is to integrate casino products more deeply into its platform through its upcoming DraftKings Sports & Casino Super App. The app will combine Sportsbook, Predictions, Casino, and Lottery into one unified experience, which the company expects will strengthen cross‑sell and deepen customer engagement.

These improvements are expected to roll out in the coming weeks and months.

DraftKings is developing what the company is calling a super app.
DraftKings plans to integrate casino products more deeply into its platform through its upcoming DraftKings Sports & Casino Super App. Image Credit: Shutterstock

Early Results Look Strong

DraftKings launched its Predictions product in late 2025, helped by its acquisition of Railbird, a company with exchange‑style technology. Even though it’s still new, the numbers are impressive:

  • Annualized consumer volume: over $1 billion
  • Total volume traded: more than $2.3 billion
  • Customer acquisition costs: down 80% after integrating predictions into the main app

Right now, predictions bring in only a small amount of revenue. But DraftKings sees them as a high‑upside addition to its sportsbook business. Some early data even shows that prediction‑market users may lose money faster than traditional sports bettors, which could increase long‑term revenue.

Strong Financial Performance in Q1 2026

DraftKings’ core business continues to grow:

  • Revenue: $1.65 billion (up 17% year over year)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $168 million (up 64% year over year)

The company reaffirmed its full‑year 2026 guidance of $6.5–6.9 billion in revenue and $700–900 million in adjusted EBITDA. This means the core business is strong enough to support the heavy investment in predictions.

“At this point, we are thinking we're gonna probably invest about $200 million-$300 million all in on Pick6 this year," Robins said. "A lot of that will be marketing, some of that'll be product technology investment as well. What that means is that the rest of the business is gonna do somewhere in the $1 billion plus range in adjusted EBITDA this year, which we're really excited about,” he added.

Why DraftKings Is Making This Move

Prediction markets have exploded in popularity, especially as regulators provide clearer rules for event‑based contracts. DraftKings sees several advantages:

  • Defending against competitors like Kalshi
  • Attracting new users who may not be traditional sports bettors
  • Cross‑selling into sports betting and online casino games
  • Building a “super app” that keeps users engaged across multiple products
  • Capturing global sports moments, like the upcoming World Cup

Robins has repeatedly stressed the urgency of becoming the leader in sports predictions before major events drive massive demand.

How the Market Reacted

Even though DraftKings beat expectations, the stock reaction was mixed. Heavy investment often makes investors nervous in the short term. But analysts and the company remain confident that prediction markets could become a multi‑billion‑dollar category.

DraftKings is making a bold move to expand beyond traditional sports betting. By investing heavily in prediction markets, the company hopes to build a new kind of exchange‑style platform that could reshape how people interact with real‑world events.

It’s early, but the traction so far suggests this could become one of DraftKings’ most important growth engines. Just remember that if you do decide to bet, always remember to exhibit responsible gambling habits.

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