My Brewers vs. Dodgers analysis below includes home run predictionstoday, and the Polymarket promo code (ACTION) is perfect to use on Game 3 of NLCS matchup,.
- The Milwaukee Brewers (103-59 in the regular season, a franchise record) carry a 2-0 NLCS lead into Los Angeles, with William Contreras's tying home run and go-ahead RBI fueling a 7-4 Game 2 win and a bullpen that retired the final 15 Dodgers hitters it faced.
- The Los Angeles Dodgers (100-62) are off to an 0-2 start in a postseason series for the first time since 2023, having gone hitless with runners in scoring position in four of their first six playoff games this October.
Before you get to my full slate of home run predictionstoday, shop around the best prediction markets for Game 3. Prices on these home run props move fast once lineups are announced ahead of first pitch from Dodger Stadium in California.
| ⚾ Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernández 1+ HR | Yes | 18% | $461.09 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Shohei Ohtani 1+ HR | Yes | 16% | $573.64 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Jackson Chourio 1+ HR | Yes | 15% | $629.46 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Freddie Freeman 1+ HR | Yes | 13% | $725.38 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Kyle Tucker 1+ HR | Yes | 11% | $856.17 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
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Best Home Run Predictions Today for Brewers vs. Dodgers Game 3
These are all real trades I made on Polymarket this morning. See exactly what a $100 position returns before Game 3 of this NLCS between the Brewers and Dodgers gets going. For more ways to round out your card of home run predictions today, check out Action Network for a full slate of MLB coverage.
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Best Home Run Predictions Today – Teoscar Hernández
| ⚾ Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernández 1+ HR | Yes | 18% | $461.09 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Teoscar Hernández (LAD) slid back to left field once the Dodgers signed Kyle Tucker, and he's already come through in the clutch this series with a sacrifice fly in Game 2 that showed he's seeing pitches well even without the loud results yet.
Milwaukee's bullpen has been brilliant through two games, but that unit has leaned on soft contact and chase more than pure swing-and-miss stuff against the middle of L.A.'s order, which is exactly the kind of mistake-pitch opportunity a power hitter like Hernández needs.
With the Dodgers facing a 0-2 hole, expect a lineup that's more aggressive early in counts rather than working deep at-bats, which plays into Hernández's track record of hunting pitches he can drive out of the park.
This ticket buys Yes shares at an average price of 20.55 cents on a $100 order, which works out to roughly 487 shares.
- If it hits: the $100 position returns $461.09.
- If it misses: the full $100 stake is lost.
That's about a 4.6x return on a single home run from Hernández in Game 3.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Shohei Ohtani
| ⚾ Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani 1+ HR | Yes | 16% | $573.64 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) led the Dodgers in home runs during the regular season, and the power threat doesn't disappear just because the long ball has been quiet through the first two games of this series.
Milwaukee's staff has pitched him carefully rather than letting him beat them with one swing, but a Game 3 shift to Dodger Stadium puts Ohtani back in a park he knows well, with a crowd that should bring out an aggressive approach from the top of the order.
A lineup down 0-2 tends to lean on its best hitter to be the one to change the game, and that's squarely Ohtani's role in this spot.
This ticket buys Yes shares at an average price of 16.48 cents on a $100 order, which works out to roughly 607 shares.
- If it hits: the $100 position returns $573.64.
- If it misses: the full $100 stake is lost.
That's about a 5.7x return on an Ohtani homer in Game 3.
Best Home Run Predictions Today – Jackson Chourio
| ⚾ Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio 1+ HR | Yes | 15% | $629.46 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Jackson Chourio (MIL) has already gone deep against this Dodgers pitching staff once in this series, taking Blake Snell long for Milwaukee's only hit of the day in Game 1.
He's been the Brewers' most dangerous bat against L.A. so far, and a lineup that just won back-to-back road and home games has no reason to let up on an aggressive approach in Game 3.
Dodger Stadium has traditionally played fair for power, and a young hitter riding this much confidence into a series lead is a reasonable bet to keep doing damage.
This ticket buys Yes shares at an average price of 15 cents on a $100 order, which works out to roughly 667 shares.
- If it hits: the $100 position returns $629.46.
- If it misses: the full $100 stake is lost.
That's about a 6.3x return on a Chourio homer in Game 3.
Best Home Run Prop Today – Freddie Freeman
| ⚾ Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman 1+ HR | Yes | 13% | $725.38 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Freddie Freeman (LAD) led the Dodgers with a .288 batting average during the regular season, and that kind of consistent zone control is exactly the profile that stays dangerous even when a lineup is struggling as a whole.
He doesn't need to expand the zone to do damage, which matters against a Milwaukee bullpen that's been living off soft contact rather than pure swing-and-miss stuff through two games.
A veteran hitter at home, facing an opponent that just saw its offense go quiet for long stretches, is a classic bounce-back spot.
This ticket buys Yes shares at an average price of 13 cents on a $100 order, which works out to roughly 769 shares.
- If it hits: the $100 position returns $725.38.
- If it misses: the full $100 stake is lost.
That's about a 7.3x return on a Freeman homer in Game 3.
Best Home Run Predictions Today – Kyle Tucker
| ⚾ Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker 1+ HR | Yes | 11% | $856.17 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Kyle Tucker (LAD) is the Dodgers' $240 million offseason addition, brought in specifically to add thump to the middle of this lineup, and that kind of bat speed and raw power never fully goes away during a cold stretch.
The long odds here reflect a quieter finish to his first year in Los Angeles rather than any change in his underlying skill set, which is exactly the kind of gap a prediction-market trader can exploit at this price.
A Dodgers team facing elimination pressure in the next five games needs secondary power sources beyond Ohtani and Freeman, and Tucker is next in line to provide it.
This ticket buys Yes shares at an average price of 11 cents on a $100 order, which works out to roughly 909 shares.
- If it hits: the $100 position returns $856.17.
- If it misses: the full $100 stake is lost.
That's about an 8.6x return on a Tucker homer in Game 3.
Home Run Predictions Today for Brewers vs. Dodgers Game 3
- Teoscar Hernández (LAD) (Home Run: Yes 18%): A sac fly in Game 2 shows he's barreling the ball even without a homer to show for it yet.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (Home Run: Yes 16%): The Dodgers' regular-season home run leader heads home to Dodger Stadium facing a 0-2 deficit.
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (Home Run: Yes 15%): Already took Blake Snell deep once in this series and carries a 2-0 series lead into Game 3.
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) (Home Run: Yes 13%): The Dodgers' most consistent regular-season bat, due for a loud game at home.
- Kyle Tucker (LAD) (Home Run: Yes 11%): The Dodgers' $240 million outfielder at long odds after a quieter finish to his first L.A. season.
What's Moving the Home Run Props Today for Brewers vs. Dodgers Game 3
Milwaukee's bullpen dominance is the biggest driver of these home run predictions today. After retiring the final 15 Dodgers hitters it faced in Game 2, the market has priced every Dodgers hitter's home run odds a little lower than their regular-season rate would suggest. This is exactly why Hernández, Ohtani, and Freeman all sit in the 13 to 18 percent range rather than higher.
On the other side, Jackson Chourio's price reflects real confidence in a Brewers lineup that's won two straight road and home games against a team that just won back-to-back World Series titles. His home run off Snell in Game 1 is still fresh in the market's memory.
Kyle Tucker's 11 percent price is the most interesting number on the board. A $240 million bat shouldn't trade at the bottom of a five-player table on name value alone, and that gap between Tucker's talent level and his current market price is worth watching as lineups get announced closer to first pitch.
Keep an eye on the prediction markets hub for live movement on all five of these home run props as first pitch approaches.
How to Trade MLB Picks on Polymarket
Ready to get in on this board? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading home run predictions today:
- Follow this guide to trading on Polymarket to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the relevant tab on Polymarket to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
- When you're ready, sign up with Polymarket promo code ACTION to get started!
📝 POLYMARKET TERMS & CONDITIONS
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Final Thoughts on My Home Run Predictions Today
Game 3 of this Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS matchup puts the defending champions in a true must-win spot, and that kind of urgency tends to produce more aggressive swings from the top of a lineup, not fewer.
My home run predictions today lean toward the Dodgers getting back on track at the plate, with Hernández, Ohtani, Freeman, and Tucker all representing real value against a Milwaukee bullpen that can't ride this hot streak forever.
Chourio remains the one name worth fading the field for, given what he's already done to this Dodgers staff once in this series. As always, stay up to date with regularly fluctuating MLB odds to buy and sell appropriately.
FAQs
What time does Game 3 of the Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS start?
Game 3 is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on FOX and FS1 from Dodger Stadium, with the series shifting to Los Angeles after the Brewers took the first two games in Milwaukee.
Who is favored to hit a home run in Game 3 of Brewers vs. Dodgers?
Based on the Polymarket prices covered in this piece, Teoscar Hernández carries the highest implied probability of the five home run props listed, followed by Shohei Ohtani and Jackson Chourio.
How do these home run prediction markets work?
Each contract pays out based on whether the named player hits at least one home run in the game. Buying "Yes" shares means collecting a payout if the player goes deep, while the position is lost in full if they don't.
This is a sensitive topic for some readers given the real money involved in prediction market trading, and this article is intended for informational purposes rather than as financial advice.
How do I use promo code ACTION on Polymarket?
Create a Polymarket account, make a qualifying deposit, and enter the promo code during signup to unlock the trading bonus tied to this offer.
Why did the Brewers take a 2-0 lead in the NLCS?
Milwaukee's bullpen has been dominant, closing out Game 2 by retiring the final 15 Dodgers batters it faced, while the Dodgers have struggled to hit with runners in scoring position through the first two games.
Is Kyle Tucker still a good home run bet despite his long odds?
Tucker's 11 percent price reflects a quieter recent stretch rather than a change in his underlying power, which is why he's included among my home run predictions today.
Where can I find more MLB prediction market coverage?
Visit our full MLB hub for additional prediction market picks throughout the rest of the NLCS and World Series.
