The Super Bowl halftime artist odds market on Kalshi continues to heat up this NFL season, and I’ve tracked this market closely since it opened. Jay-Z holds the top spot right now, but Miley Cyrus has closed the gap in recent weeks.
Sign up now with Kalshi promo code ACTION2000 and unlock up to a $2,000 sign-up bonus to trade Super Bowl halftime artist odds. See my break down of where every major artist sits on the Kalshi predictions odds board below.
Latest Super Bowl Halftime Artist Odds on Kalshi
See the table below for a snapshot of where the four most artists stand as of publish time. These numbers move fast, and I check them daily as someone with a keen interest in the Super Bowl halftime artist odds market:
| Artist | Kalshi Odds | Market Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Jay-Z | 51% | 1st (Favorite) |
| Miley Cyrus | 42% | 2nd |
| Harry Styles | 20% | 3rd |
| Justin Bieber | 17% | 4th |
Jay-Z Sits Atop the Board
Jay-Z’s Roc Nation has produced the NFL’s halftime show since 2019. That connection drives most of his momentum in the Super Bowl halftime artist odds market:
- Roc Nation handpicks every halftime headliner, which gives Jay-Z built-in influence over his own candidacy
- He has never headlined a Super Bowl himself, but his wife Beyoncé performed in 2013
- Traders moved his contract up double digits in the past week alone
I take notice of the recent market shift. The Super Bowl halftime show is traditionally revealed in September, so the timing of these odds shifting speaks volumes.
Miley Cyrus Buzz Keeps Building
Miley Cyrus trails Jay-Z, but not by much, and her number tells a real story:
- Her recent single run and minimal live touring have created scarcity, and scarcity drives demand in entertainment markets
- She’s drawn comparisons to pop headliners who historically overperform their opening odds
- Her contract has swung as much as 13 points in a single week, which is volatility than any other name on the board
I view Cyrus as the clearest value play in the Super Bowl halftime artist odds market right now. She has a loyal fanbase who have clamored for her to headline the Super Bowl halftime show for years now.
Harry Styles and Justin Bieber Round Out the Field
Styles and Bieber sit well behind the top two, but I see the appeal of these underdogs:
- Harry Styles wraps a major tour cycle early next year, leaving his schedule open for rehearsals just before the Super Bowl
- Justin Bieber has longstanding Super Bowl buzz dating back several cycles and remains a recurring name whenever halftime speculation starts
- Both names see enough daily volume to rank third and fourth most traded on the board, well ahead of longer shot artists like Billie Eilish or Dua Lipa
Neither artist looks likely to overtake the top two soon, but I keep an eye on both every time I see the Super Bowl halftime artist odds shift.
How to Claim the Kalshi Promo Code ACTION2000 and Start Trading
Trade any of these prediction markets yourself by taking just a few minutes to register with Kalshi:
- Tap here to start a new Kalshi account today
- Enter the Kalshi promo code ACTION2000 when prompted
- Unlock the Kalshi sign-up bonus, worth up to $2,000 for new traders
- Search “halftime show” in the Kalshi markets tab to find the full artist board
Of all the top prediction market apps in the country, Kalshi is the only place where Super Bowl halftime artist odds are offered. Register now and trade Jay-Z, Miley Cyrus, or any other name on the board, and expect an announcement to be made shortly.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.














































