The New York Yankees take the mound tonight in St. Petersburg looking to even their series against the Tampa Bay Rays, and Yankees vs. Rays prediction markets are lighting up with action. New York dropped Game 1 in a tight pitching battle, but Cam Schlittler gets the ball for Game 2, and that changes everything about how sharp bettors view tonight's number.
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Yankees vs. Rays Prediction: NLDS Game 2 Odds, TV Info
Before you build a Yankees vs. Rays prediction of your own, see what the latest MLB odds are on Polymarket, accurate as of publish time:
- Moneyline: Yankees win YES (54¢) | Rays win YES (47¢)
- Run Line: Yankees win by over 1.5 runs YES (39¢) | NO (62¢)
- Total: Over 6.5 total runs YES (52¢) | NO (48¢)
I built my Yankees vs. Rays prediction around the arms on the mound tonight. Schlittler takes the bump for New York fresh off a dominant Wild Card outing, and his road splits tell the story of why the Yankees jumped back to favorites despite losing Game 1.
He posts a 1.16 ERA away from Yankee Stadium this season, the best mark in the majors, with a 0.74 WHIP and a .153 opponents' batting average across 17 starts.
Freddy Peralta counters for Tampa Bay carrying a 4.42 ERA on the year. While he has shown flashes of swing and miss stuff at home, he gives up more hard contact than Schlittler does in nearly every matchup split available.
Here is the Yankees vs. Rays TV information to keep in mind ahead of first pitch:
- Date: Monday, Oct. 5, 2026
- Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Channel: TBS, truTV
- Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida
- Series: Rays lead 1-0
My Yankees vs. Rays Prediction: Three Best Bets
Here are three Yankees vs. Rays prediction markets to tail on Polymarket:
- Yankees win YES (54¢): The Yankees' offense needed one night to reset, and Schlittler on the mound in a get-right spot is a lean I feel comfortable with.
- Over 6.5 total runs NO (48¢): Six of the last 14 meetings between these clubs this went under this exact number, including four shutouts. Both aces trend toward quick, clean innings.
- Cam Schlittler 8+ strikeouts YES (38¢): Schlittler struck out 129 batters across 17 road starts and has not had trouble missing bats against contact-heavy lineups like Tampa Bay's.
Ben Rice gives this Yankees vs. Rays prediction an extra layer worth watching. He owns a 1.320 OPS with seven home runs against the Rays in 51 plate appearances this season, nearly double his homer total against any other opponent in baseball.
One swing from Rice flips the total and the moneyline outcome at the same time, so Yankees backers want him near the top of the order tonight.
Tampa Bay still has a case here. The Rays went 55-26 at home this season, they just took Game 1 behind a one-hit pitching performance, and Junior Caminero carries legitimate home run equity at plus odds in every lineup configuration tonight.
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Walk into first pitch with live exposure to every angle covered above, from the Schlittler strikeout prop to the Yankees moneyline lean. Lineups post at approximately 6:30 p.m. ET, which is when prediction market apps receive an influx of trades. Claim your bonus early to secure the best entry point on Game 2 in the NLDS.
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