Dolphins vs. Colts Odds & Betting Predictions - October 20, 2024

Dolphins at Colts

5:00 pm • FOX
10 - 16

Dolphins at Colts Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dolphins
2-6
-1
+3-120
o44-110
+130
Colts
4-5
u49
-3+100
u44-108
-155
location pinSunday 5:00 p.m.
October 20, 2024
Lucas Oil StadiumIndianapolis
Dolphins vs. Colts Expert Picks
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
22d ago
Last 30d: 80-103-1 (-4.3u)
IND -3+100
0.55u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
22d ago
Last 30d: 48-97-1 (+0.5u)
T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+210
0.5u
JB Bets
JB Bets
22d ago
Last 30d: 69-79-0 (-2.0u)
MIA +3.5-125
1u
The Touchdown Show
The Touchdown Show
22d ago
Last 30d: 8-43-0 (-2.2u)
D.Achane 2+ TDs Yes+1700
0.25u
@TheBMatt
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
22d ago
Last 30d: 27-52-0 (-18.2u)
T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+185
0.5u
J.Downs o49.5 Rec Yds-115
1.15u
YBK Picks.com
22d ago
Last 30d: 52-52-1 (-2.3u)
MIA +3-105
2u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
22d ago
Last 30d: 200-231-3 (-34.7u)
D.Achane Anytime TD Scorer Yes+145
1.5u
Brian Condon
Brian Condon
22d ago
Last 30d: 32-34-1 (-1.3u)
MIA +3-114
1u
Miami is 5-1 last 6 in Indy, only failing to cover by 0.5 the one time they didn’t cover. Colts are also 5-1 ATS this year while Miami is 1-4, and I expect both of these stats to regress and head towards their equilibrium by Dolphins covering (+3) this week
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
22d ago
Last 30d: 20-25-0 (-3.3u)
IND -3-106
0.47u
The Propfessor
The Propfessor
22d ago
Last 30d: 51-35-0 (+8.8u)
J.Smith o18.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
22d ago
Last 30d: 200-231-3 (-34.7u)
MIA +3-114
1.71u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
22d ago
Last 30d: 116-122-0 (-3.2u)
Over 43.5-110
1u
Combined for 32 last week
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
22d ago
Last 30d: 109-115-3 (-10.1u)
MIA +3-114
1.14u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
22d ago
Last 30d: 220-231-1 (+2.4u)
T.Huntley o0.5 Pass TDs-174
0.8u
3.35% ev
RocketPlays
RocketPlays
22d ago
Last 30d: 51-106-1 (-2.4u)
R.Mostert o33.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
Matthew Vincenzi
Matthew Vincenzi
22d ago
Last 30d: 21-36-1 (-21.0u)
MIA +3-115
1.15u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
22d ago
Last 30d: 100-113-0 (-16.3u)
A.Richardson o32.5 Rush Yds-109
1u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
22d ago
Last 30d: 120-118-0 (+5.4u)
MIA +3-110
1.1u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
22d ago
Last 30d: 86-70-0 (+6.3u)
J.Waddle o3.5 Recs-128
1.28u
Despite shaky QB play, Waddle has cleared this line in all 5 games this season. McDaniel has gotten him involved in shorter routes / screens to try to get the ball in his hands (aDOT of 8 yards is a few yards lower than each of the L2 seasons). Great spot vs the heavy zone coverage of the Dolphins, who will likely play a lot of 2-deep looks to protect against the long ball. Waddle’s target rate is much higher vs zone, compared to man coverage where Tyreek dominates. The colts are 23rd in FTN’s DVOA vs the pass, and are allowing 12 rec per game to WRs. With Richardson back under center (and still no Taylor), I see them struggling to sustain long drives, which should allow for high offensive volume for MIA.
Milly Props
Milly Props
23d ago
Last 30d: 7-7-0 (+0.7u)
J.Waddle o3.5 Recs-128
1u
Everywhere I look, I see someone on Hill...rightfully so, but I think there's some really nice value here on Waddle. He's covered this line in every game this season, which means he has in 2/2 w/ Huntley but what really stands out is over the L2 weeks, his TRG share has risen (more than Hill's). Weeks 1-3: 14.43% Target Share Weeks 4-5: 26.92% Target Share The really nice thing here is his TRG share has jumped 12% with Huntley but his low ADOT of ~8-8.5 yards has stayed the same. Huntley's pass attempts line is 26.5 with juice. Assuming he throws 26 passes, Waddle should see 7 TRG in this one (L2 w/ Huntley he's seen 6 and 8 TRG). When Waddle has seen 6+ TRG in a game, he's covered this line in 19/21 games since Hill has joined MIA (90.5%). IND plays zone at the highest rate in the league - last season Waddle was T10 in RECV grade and YPRR vs. zone. That hasn't translated over to this season (yet) but understandably so with all the QB issues. Waddle's ADOT drops to 6.9 (nice) vs. zone coverage, making it easier to haul in catches. L2 weeks w/ Huntley when MIA has faced zone, Waddle leads the team with 11 targets (Hill 9 targets) - accounting for a 30.6% TRG share against zone coverages. It also helps that MIA is coming off a bye week where Huntley had more time to get familiar with the complex MIA offense.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
23d ago
Last 30d: 220-231-1 (+2.4u)
J.Smith u2.5 Recs-135
1u
+ev and projections leans to the under giving us value at this number
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
24d ago
Last 30d: 70-74-1 (+16.7u)
T.Hill 100+ Receiving Yards Yes+470
0.2u
Caesars
T.Hill 90+ Receiving Yards Yes+330
0.2u
Caesars
T.Hill 80+ Receiving Yards Yes+230
0.2u
Caesars
T.Hill o55.5 Rec Yds-120
1u
Fliff
Lock & Cash
Lock & Cash
24d ago
Last 30d: 27-24-0 (-2.1u)
MIA +3-105
1.5u
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
25d ago
Last 30d: 45-55-2 (-4.9u)
T.Huntley o180.5 Pass Yds-110
1.1u
J.Waddle o38.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u

PRO Insights

Dolphins logo

Dolphins

MIA Insights
  • Dolphins logoThe Dolphins have thrown the ball 57.0% of the time in the red zone this season -- 5th-highest in NFL; the Colts have allowed a completion rate of 69.0% when defending in the red zone this season -- T-4th-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Colts logo

Colts

IND Insights
  • Colts logoThe Colts have pressured opposing QBs on 80% of pass attempts with a heavy rush this season -- 2nd-best in NFL; Dolphins QBs have a 64.6 passer rating against a heavy rush this season -- 4th-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE

Dolphins vs. Colts Previews & Analysis

  • Are KC Chiefs & Detroit Lions headed for Super Bowl? | NFL Week 7 Recap | The Action Network Podcast article feature image

    Are KC Chiefs & Detroit Lions headed for Super Bowl? | NFL Week 7 Recap | The Action Network Podcast

    Evan Abrams
    Oct 21, 2024 UTC
  • Action PRO's +500 TD Pick for SNF article feature image

    Action PRO's +500 TD Pick for SNF

    Action AI
    Oct 20, 2024 UTC
  • NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds for Every Game — Week 7 article feature image

    NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds for Every Game — Week 7

    Action Network Staff
    Oct 20, 2024 UTC
  • Gallant's Week 7 ATD Picks & Game Previews article feature image

    Gallant's Week 7 ATD Picks & Game Previews

    Gilles Gallant
    Oct 20, 2024 UTC
See more NFL Coverage Right Arrow

Dolphins vs. Colts Props

Prop Projections

See All
Right Arrow

There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.

Prop Odds Comparison

Right Arrow
Right Arrow

No props found

Line Movement Tracker

Right Arrow
Right Arrow

Dolphins vs. Colts Public Betting Percentages

45%

Bets%

55%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Colts
7-24-03-22-15-1
Dolphins
2-60-42-21-41-2

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Colts
3-62-21-40-33-3
Dolphins
3-52-21-32-31-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Colts
4-5N/AN/A2-12-4
Dolphins
2-6N/AN/A2-30-3

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Oct 13th@TENW 20-17+2.5 WU 41.5IND +110
Oct 6th@JACL 34-37+4 WO 44.5JAC +160
Sep 29thPITW 27-24+2.5 WO 41IND +115
Sep 22ndCHIW 21-16-2.5 WU 43.5IND -132
Sep 15th@GBL 10-16-3 LU 41.5GB -141

Colts vs. Dolphins Injury Updates

Colts Injuries

  • Michael Pittman
    WR

    Pittman is out with back

    Out

  • Cameron McGrone
    LB

    McGrone is questionable with elbow

    Questionable

  • Jaylon Carlies
    DB

    Carlies is out with knee

    Out

Dolphins Injuries

  • Tyreek Hill
    WR

    Hill is questionable with wrist

    Questionable

  • River Cracraft
    WR

    Cracraft is questionable with shoulder

    Questionable

  • Austin Jackson
    OL

    Jackson is out with knee

    Out

  • Jevon Holland
    S

    Holland is out with hand

    Out

  • Patrick McMorris
    DB

    McMorris is questionable with calf

    Questionable

Team Stats
337
Total Yards
284
68
Total Plays
61
5
Yards Per Play
4.7
161
YDS
129
15/26
Comps/Atts
10/24
5.321
YPA
5.375
1/0
TDs/INTs
0/0
2/12
Sacks/Yards
0/0
188
Rush Yards
155
40
Attempts
37
4.7
YPC
4.189
0
TDs
1

Turnovers

2
Fumbles Lost
1
0
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

1/3 33.33%
Redzone
1/3 33.33%
6/15 0%
3rd Down
4/13 0%
0/1 0%
4th Down
0/0 0%

First Downs

18
Total
16
8
Pass
6
9
Rush
10
1
Penalty
0
6/50
Penalties/Yards
4/25
31:11
Possession
28:49

Dolphins vs. Colts Odds Comparison

Right Arrow

Could not load odds

Dolphins at Colts Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Dolphins
2-6
o20.5-112
u20.5-108
Colts
4-5
o23.5-108
u23.5-112