Saints vs. Packers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 24, 2023

Saints at Packers

5:00 pm • FOX

New Orleans Saints

5-12

17 - 18

Green Bay Packers

0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Saints 5-12	-1.5-115	o41.5-110	-122
Packers 0-1	+1.5-105	u41.5-110	-105

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

September 24, 2023

Lambeau FieldGreen Bay

GB +900 (Live)

1.35u

GB +352 (Live)

$88.00

C.Olave Anytime TD Scorer+210

@GDAWG5000

NO -1.5-110

Under 41.5-110

0.91u

NO -1-110

NO +1.5-112

Had to take this since Saints were dog in the contest but had moved to faves IRL.

J.Love o0.5 Int-115

0.87u

NO +1-110

K.Miller o48.5 Rush + Rec Yds-114

D.Carr o0.5 Int-150

NO +1-105

1.05u

Believing in the road dog

K.Miller Anytime TD Scorer+210

0.5u

Go Frogs!

A.Dillon 2+ TDs+550

0.25u

NO +1-110

1.1u

GB -1-110

1.1u

K.Miller o35.5 Rush Yds-125

1.25u

C.Olave Anytime TD Scorer+210

Bet at FanDuel. Like both Olave and Taysom to score in this one. Watch TD Show at 11:30am ET on Sunday on Action Network YT channel.

J.Love o1.5 Int+425

0.25u

If you go back to college, Love has thrown at least one interception in 13 of his last 18 games (72%) when he's played at least half the snaps, with multiple INTs in seven of the last 16.

GB -118

0.42u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-betting-preview-week-3

T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer+240

0.5u

Bet at FanDuel. Gave this on TAN Best Podcast on 9/21. Like and subscribe. https://myaction.app/XPiewwymjDb

NO +2-110

Raybon 2

M.Thomas u20.5 Longest Reception-120

Only 2 of Thomas’ 17 targets have traveled at least 20 air yards, and only 4/17 have traveled more than 15 air yards. He’s very clearly third on this team’s pecking order for deep throws (Olave has 6 targets 20+ yards, Shaheed has 4). Green Bay did just allow some deeper throws to the Falcons, but overall I trust their zone looks to keep Thomas in front of them - and Thomas is not a YAC threat. Also, throw in some windy conditions - should make life more difficult for Derek Carr, who has traditionally been towards the bottom of the leaderboards of completion % on deep throws.

NO +2-110

0.91u

GB -126

J.Love o1.5 Int+425

0.15u

Saints D 4th in DVOA and 3rd in Pass DVOA. Love has thrown a pick in “12 of his last 17 starts as a human” per @wheatonbrando (including college) lol

J.Love o0.5 Int-115

0.43u

NO +115

0.5u

GB -130

$50.00

Fuck it, mask off

Featured Insight
Packers QBs have a 54.4 passer rating in the fourth quarter since Week 15 of the 2022 Season -- sixth-worst in NFL. The Saints have allowed a passer rating of 47.2 in the 4th quarter since Week 15 of the 2022 Season -- second-best in NFL.

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Featured Insight
Saints QBs have a 68.4 passer rating when their QB was under pressure since Week 15 of the 2022 Season -- sixth-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed a passer rating of 72.3 when the opposing QB was under pressure since Week 15 of the 2022 Season -- fifth-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Packers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Packers are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Packers are 3-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Packers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Packers' 9 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Packers	8-8-1	5-4	3-3-1	6-6	2-2-1
Saints	7-10	4-5	3-5	1-3	6-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Packers	8-8-1	3-5-1	4-3	5-6-1	3-2
Saints	8-9	4-5	4-4	2-2	6-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Packers	11-6	N/A	N/A	9-3	2-3
Saints	5-12	N/A	N/A	2-2	3-10

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 17th	@ATL	L 24-25	+3 W	O 40	ATL +130
Sep 10th	@CHI	W 38-20	+1 W	O 40.5	GB +106
Aug 26th	SEA	W 19-15	-3.5 W	U 38	GB -167
Aug 20th	NE	L 17-21	-2.5 L	O 37.5	NE -145
Aug 11th	@CIN	W 36-19	-4.5 W	O 35	GB -200

Derek Carr
QB
Carr is out with hand
Out

Alvin Kamara
RB
Kamara is doubtful with groin
Doubtful
Taysom Hill
TE
Hill is out with knee
Out
Nathan Shepherd
DT
Shepherd is questionable with eye
Questionable
Isaac Yiadom
CB
Yiadom is questionable with pelvis
Questionable
J.T. Gray
DB
Gray is questionable with back
Questionable
Erik McCoy
C
McCoy is out with elbow
Out
Pete Werner
LB
Werner is out with concussion
Out
Chris Olave
WR
Olave is out with concussion
Out
D'Marco Jackson
LB
Jackson is out with ankle
Out
John Ridgeway
DT
Ridgeway is questionable with oblique
Questionable
Nephi Sewell
LB
Sewell is questionable with knee
Questionable
Rashid Shaheed
WR
Shaheed is out with knee
Out
Kendre Miller
RB
Miller is doubtful with concussion
Doubtful
Nick Saldiveri
OL
Saldiveri is out with knee
Out
Bub Means
WR
Means is out with ankle
Out
Rico Payton
CB
Payton is questionable with back
Questionable

Jaire Alexander
CB
Alexander is out with knee
Out
Mecole Hardman
WR
Hardman is out with knee
Out
Aaron Banks
G
Banks is out with knee
Out
Nate Hobbs
CB
Hobbs is questionable with illness
Questionable
Zayne Anderson
S
Anderson is out with concussion
Out
Quay Walker
LB
Walker is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Christian Watson
WR
Watson is out with knee
Out
Brenton Cox
DE
Cox is questionable with foot
Questionable
Jordan Morgan
OL
Morgan is out with shoulder
Out
MarShawn Lloyd
RB
Lloyd is out with hamstring
Out
Ty'Ron Hopper
LB
Hopper is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Evan Williams
DB
Williams is questionable with quad
Questionable

See more NFL Injuries

Saints

Total

Packers

252

Total Yards

340

Total Plays

4.2

Yards Per Play

4.8

Saints

Passing

Packers

204

YDS

259

23/34

Comps/Atts

22/44

4.605

YPA

5.444

1/0

TDs/INTs

1/1

4/29

Sacks/Yards

1/14

Saints

Rushing

Packers

Rush Yards

Attempts

3.5

YPC

3.654

TDs

Saints

Turnovers

Packers

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Saints

Efficiency

Packers

1/2 50%

Redzone

2/3 66.67%

4/14 0%

3rd Down

8/18 0%

1/1 0%

4th Down

1/3 0%

Saints

First Downs

Packers

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Saints

Misc

Packers

7/102

Penalties/Yards

11/90

27:25

Possession

32:35

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MatchupOverUnder
Saints 5-12	o20.5-115	u20.5-115
Packers 0-1	o20.5-102	u20.5-120

Saints vs. Packers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 24, 2023

Saints at Packers

New Orleans Saints

Green Bay Packers

Saints at Packers Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

PRO Insights

Saints

Packers

Saints vs. Packers Previews & Analysis

McMurphy's Law: Looking Ahead to CFB Week 5

How to Bet Every Team and Every Game in NFL Week 3

Saints vs. Packers: Love Poised To Win Home Opener

Koerner's Updated Pick'em & Confidence Ratings

Saints vs. Packers Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Saints vs. Packers Public Betting Percentages

Saints

Public

Packers

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Saints vs. Packers Injury Updates

Saints Injuries

Packers Injuries

Saints vs. Packers Odds Comparison

Saints at Packers Team Totals