This may be an impulsive overreaction, but here is my thought process. Busch was dominate here in 2022. He came out fast and then got faster over every segment. RCR wasn’t bad here in 2022 either, Reddick had Top 10 speed and this isn’t a Reddick track. AD3 was his standard around 20 in speed. Busch has been less than stellar in the short track package this year, but we are not using the short track package this weekend, since the track is over a mile long, despite being a “flat track” NASCAR is using the intermediate package, which Busch has been very strong in. It seems that he always finds a way to be around at the end when his car isn’t junk and since we are using the intermediate package I don’t think his car will be junk.