2019 NFL MVP Odds: Patrick Mahomes Opens as Vegas Favorite

2019 NFL MVP Odds: Patrick Mahomes Opens as Vegas Favorite article feature image
Credit:

Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Patrick Mahomes.

  • On Tuesday night, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook posted their 2019 NFL MVP odds.
  • Reigning winner Patrick Mahomes opened as the favorite at +400, followed by Aaron Rodgers and Andrew Luck at +800 a piece.

While the middle of summer can be boring at times in the sports world, the world of betting seemingly always has something juicy going on. On Tuesday, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook posted their 2019 NFL MVP odds — always a fan favorite and interesting discussion.

Last year, Patrick Mahomes took home the award by tossing 50 touchdown passes and leading the Chiefs to a division title. He was available in the +5000 range during the offseason but was bet down to the 30-1 range by Week 1.

This year, he’s the clear preseason favorite at +400, which carries a 20% implied probability. Trailing him are two-time MVP Aaron Rodgers and Andrew Luck at +800 a piece.

2019 NFL MVP Odds

  • Patrick Mahomes +400
  • Aaron Rodgers +800
  • Andrew Luck +800
  • Carson Wentz +1000
  • Drew Brees +1000
  • Tom Brady +1200
  • Philip Rivers +1400
  • Russell Wilson +1400
  • Ben Roethlisberger +2500
  • Matt Ryan +2500
  • Baker Mayfield +2500
  • Jared Goff +6000
  • Cam Newton +6000
  • Ezekiel Elliott +6000
  • Deshaun Watson +6000
  • Jimmy Garoppolo +8000
  • Matthew Stafford +8000
  • Alvin Kamara +8000
  • Christian McCaffrey +8000
  • Kirk Cousins +8000
  • Saquon Barkley +8000
  • Dak Prescott +10000
  • Le’Veon Bell +10000
  • Sam Darnold +10000
  • Sony Michel +10000
  • Aaron Donald +10000
  • Khalil Mack +10000
  • Von Miller +10000
  • J.J. Watt +10000
  • Joey Bosa +10000
  • Melvin Ingram +10000
  • Myles Garrett +10000
  • Antonio Brown +10000
  • Derek Carr +10000
  • Jameis Winston +10000
  • Julio Jones +10000
  • Kyler Murray +10000
  • Lamar Jackson +10000
  • Marcus Mariota +10000
  • Melvin Gordon +10000
  • Michael Thomas +10000
  • Mike Evans +10000
  • Nick Chubb +10000
  • Odell Beckham Jr. +10000
  • Todd Gurley +10000
  • Travis Kelce +10000
  • Mitchell Trubisky +20000
  • Nick Foles +20000
  • Fletcher Cox +20000
  • Nick Bosa +20000
  • Luke Kuechly +2000
  • Leighton Vander Esch +20000
  • Phillip Lindsay +20000
  • Dalvin Cook +20000
  • Damien Williams +20000
  • A.J. Green +20000
  • Aaron Jones +20000
  • Adam Thielen +20000
  • Amari Cooper +20000
  • Brandin Cooks +20000
  • Davante Adams +20000
  • David Johnson +20000
  • Derrick Henry +20000
  • Devonta Freeman +20000
  • James Conner +20000
  • Joe Mixon +20000
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster +20000
  • Julian Edelman +20000
  • Leonard Fournette +20000
  • Stefon Diggs +30000
  • T.Y. Hilton +30000
  • Zach Ertz +30000
  • Tarik Cohen +30000
  • George Kittle +30000

The next tier of players are the usual suspects: Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Carson Wentz, Philip Rivers and Russell Wilson. Brady and Brees have shown MVP-caliber play despite their old age over the past couple of seasons, while Wentz may have been on his way to winning the award two years ago before tearing his ACL.

There’s a fairly sizable drop-off to the next group of players at +2500, which includes Big Ben Roethlisberger, Matt Ryan and Baker Mayfield. I’m not saying he has value or doesn’t at this price, but I will tell you that Baker Mayfield is going to be a trendy bet this offseason. Mark my words.

There’s another big drop-off to the next tier of players at 60-1, which includes the first non-QB in Ezekiel Elliott. The Cowboys RB would be the first non-QB to win since Adrian Peterson in 2012 and fifth running back to win this century.

The +8000 group includes another player I expect to be popular: Jimmy Garoppolo. The 49ers QB was a trendy choice last offseason at shorter odds, and I imagine there are still plenty of folks who believe he has a chance to be elite. At 80-1, the oddsmakers seem comfortable letting bettors take a shot at him in hopes of a bounceback season.

Dozens more players can be found between 100-1 and 300-1, including several defensive players, wide receivers and even a few tight ends. No. 1 overall draft pick Kyler Murray is available at 100-1 — he’ll be a potentially popular choice — as are ex-Steelers stars Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell.

Stay tuned throughout the offseason as we ramp up our NFL coverage in preparation for the 2019 season.