The Week 13 Sunday slate concludes with Sunday Night Football featuring the Denver Broncos and the Washington Commanders on November 30. Kickoff from Northwestern Stadium is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast live on NBC.
Our player props for this Sunday Night Football game target Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Marcus Mariota, RJ Harvey and Troy Franklin.
Let's dive into my Broncos vs Commanders player props for Sunday Night Football.
Broncos vs Commanders Player Props
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt Under 25.5 Rushing Yards (-109; DraftKings)
- Marcus Mariota Under 27.5 Rushing Yards (-106; Unibet)
- RJ Harvey Over 16.5 Rec Yards (-110; DraftKings)
- Troy Franklin Anytime Touchdown (+175; bet365)
Broncos vs Commanders Prop Picks, Preview
Jacory Croskey-Merritt Under 25.5 Rushing Yards (-109)
Coming into the season, the hype around Jacory Croskey-Merritt was deafening. He had an unreal training camp, and with Brian Robinson departing Washington, it looked like it was Bill’s backfield.
In his first game, Croskey-Merritt had 82 rushing yards on just 10 carries and found the end zone. Since then, he’s only scored three more times and has increasingly struggled.
The Broncos have given up just an average of 76 rushing yards to opposing running backs per game. The big issue is that Chris Rodriguez has heavily eaten into Croskey-Merritt's workload, and last week the former had the bulk of the carries.
Not only are we seeing Croskey-Merritt’s workload drop, but we’ve also seen his yards per carry crater. He’s not had over four yards per carry in a game in any of his previous six contests.
Pick: Jacory Croskey-Merritt Under 25.5 Rushing Yards (-109)
Marcus Mariota Under 27.5 Rushing Yards (-106)
We’re taking Marcus Mariota here. He’s started the previous two games with Jayden Daniels sidelined and is set to start again. Mariota's had Under 27.5 rushing yards in one of those two games, and two of six starts overall.
However, this Broncos defense is exceptionally strong. They’re great against the run in general, but against quarterbacks, they’ve given up the least rushing yards.
QBs have only rushed for an average of 10.6 yards per game against the Broncos, and despite Mariota being good with his legs, it’s hard to see him going over that.
Pick: Marcus Mariota Under 27.5 Rushing Yards (-106)
RJ Harvey Over 16.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
With JK Dobbins on IR, it’s become RJ Harvey time in Denver and the rookie running back has seized the backfield.
Harvey hasn’t looked as good as Dobbins, but they’ve had a bye week to get him first-string reps in practice. Harvey's had Over 16.5 receiving yards in two of his past three games and crucially has had at least three targets in all of those games.
In fact, he’s had three or more targets in seven of his past nine games. With Dobbins out, we should see that number rise.
It’s the perfect opportunity for Harvey to hit the Over on his receiving yard line with the Commanders giving up 37 receiving yards per game to running backs.
Pick: RJ Harvey Over 16.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Troy Franklin Anytime Touchdown (+175)
We’re getting tasty odds on Troy Franklin to score a touchdown here. The Commanders are averaging over a touchdown per game to opposition wide receivers, with 13 in 11 games, meaning that we have to consider a wideout scoring here, especially with Bo Nix throwing for multiple touchdown passes in three of his past five games.
Franklin has to be the selection here. He’s scored five TDs in 11 games this season, but most importantly, he’s been dominating the team in red-zone targets.
So far this season, he’s had 14 red-zone targets, that is far ahead of the next wideout on the roster, Courtland Sutton, who has eight. Franklin’s 14 red-zone targets stack up well when you consider every other WR combined only had 16 RZ targets.
Pick: Troy Franklin Anytime Touchdown (+175)
Editor's Note: A parlay isn't the author's formal recommendation. These prop picks have value on their own.
Broncos vs Commanders Prop Bets
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt Under 25.5 Rushing Yards (-109; DraftKings)
- Marcus Mariota Under 27.5 Rushing Yards (-106; Unibet)
- RJ Harvey Over 16.5 Rec Yards (-110; DraftKings)
- Troy Franklin Anytime Touchdown (+175; bet365)
