NFL Player Props: Monday Night Quarterback Bets for Jalen Hurts, Baker Mayfield, Matthew Stafford
Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images. Pictured: Baker Mayfield.
The second Monday Night Football doubleheader of the 2023 NFL season is here, and we are locked and loaded with a full slate of player prop picks for the NFC clash between the Eagles and Buccaneers, as well as the Super Bowl LVI rematch between the Rams and Bengals.
Let's take a look at our top three player props for Eagles vs. Buccaneers and Rams vs. Bengals, which includes picks for Jalen Hurts, Baker Mayfield and Matthew Stafford to close the Week 3 NFL slate.
NFL Player Props
In the table below, you'll find each of our NFL staff's top player prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7:15 p.m. | |
| 7:15 p.m. | |
| 8:15 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Eagles vs. Buccaneers
Despite what Philly’s average of 29.5 points per game may lead you to believe, the Eagles certainly had their fair share of offensive struggles in the first two weeks of the season.
In Week 1 against New England, the Eagles generated just 19 points on 251 total yards. They were fortunate enough to get an early boost via a pick-six by Darius Slay, but even with Philly’s head start, the game still went down to the wire as the Patriots drove all the way to the 19-yard line with 58 seconds left on the clock, and had a real chance to win the game in the closing moments.
Then in Week 2, the Eagles were forced to settle for two field goals and a touchdown on six first-half drives against Minnesota, before finally opening the floodgates for a 21-point explosion in the second half en route to a 34-28 victory.
That said, the one aspect of the Eagles offense that has fired on all cylinders out of the gate is their offensive line, especially in the red zone via their signature quarterback sneak, otherwise known as the"Tush Push."
After failing to find the end zone in Week 1, Hurts snuck in two touchdowns against Minnesota, which is what most fans are accustomed to seeing from him after rushing for 18 touchdowns in 18 starts last year (postseason included).
The Buccaneers have a very good defensive front, currently ranked third in rushing yardage allowed and sixth in yards allowed per carry. However, +110 is far too tempting of a price for a guy who has rushed for a touchdown in nine of his last 12 starts.
Eagles vs. Buccaneers
Tampa Bay entered this season with low expectations, but to the surprise of many, Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers scored 20+ points in back-to-back wins over the Vikings and Bears to open their campaign. Now, they return home to host the Eagles for a clash of unbeaten squads.
The Buccaneers posted a +5 turnover differential in their first two matchups of the season, and when combined with a defense capable of holding middle-of-the-road opponents to under 20 points, the Bucs are destined to surprise teams occasionally.
However, this Eagles squad is a totally different beast. The Eagles have scored 24+ points in 17 of their last 20 games started by Hurts, including last year’s playoffs. And quite frankly, I don’t think Tampa’s offense has enough juice to pull off the upset.
That said, the Buccaneers never trailed in the second half of their first two matchups. So, even with a pair of positive game scripts out of the gate, Mayfield still managed to complete 21-of-34 pass attempts for 173 yards in Week 1, and then 26-of-34 passes for 317 yards in Week 2.
This time around, the Bucs will likely be forced to play from behind in a matchup that they are tagged as five-point underdogs. So in theory, we should see a season high in pass attempts for Mayfield on Monday, leading to at least 22 completions.
Rams vs. Bengals
The Rams weren’t expected to make much noise in the NFC as they continue the process of slowly phasing out the veteran talent that lifted them to a Super Bowl win two years ago. But as long as the quarterback-head coach combo of Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay remains intact, the Rams offense clearly still has the ability to deal serious damage under the right set of circumstances.
In Week 1, the Rams shredded Seattle’s defense for 30 points on 426 total yards en route to a double-digit road victory in a game that they were four-point underdogs.
Then in Week 2, they gave the 49ers everything they could possibly handle in a one-score loss, as Stafford and company racked up 386 total yards against one of the top defenses in the league — the Rams’ -2 turnover differential served as the true deciding factor in the defeat.
Even when they have a lead, the Rams tend to utilize short passes as an extension of their run game, as opposed to leaning on a traditional rushing attack.
That style of offense was on full display in Week 1, when they rushed for just 92 yards and greenlit Stafford for 33 pass attempts (24 completions). In Week 2, the Rams found themselves playing from behind early, which led to Stafford slinging it 55 times for 34 completions.
Stafford has completed 24+ passes in back-to-back games to open the season, and he’s cleared that number in seven of his last 11 starts dating back to last year. I’ll back him to make it a third straight game in what has the makings of a competitive bout in Cincy.
Pick: Matthew Stafford Over 23.5 Completions (-110)
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