NFL Playoffs Odds: Giants Favored to Reach Playoffs, Jets Not Getting Respect Just Yet
Elsa, John Fisher/Getty. Pictured: Zach Wilson and Daniel Jones.
Did anyone predict that? Perhaps not, but it's starting to get real on the East Coast, with the playoffs in sight for the fan bases of each squad.
The Jets opened the season at +700 to make the playoffs, but Zach Wilson and his rejuvenated squad sit at +200 at DraftKings, still on the outside looking in on the playoff picture.
For the Giants, that's not the case. Daniel Jones' team opened the year at +230 to make the postseason, but the Giants are now -215 to play some extra games.
There are a bunch of games left, so this is just a silly hypothetical, but if the season ended today, both the Jets and the Giants would be in the playoffs.
The Jets currently occupy the sixth seed in the AFC while the Giants come in fifth in the NFC.
However, the question remains, is there value on betting either of these teams to reach the postseason? Is there any value in fading either of them?
Here is what Billy Ward, a member of our Predictive Analytics team, had to say on the matter.
Billy Ward's New York Playoffs Betting Analysis
This is a bit of a cop-out answer, but based on our NFL Power Ratings, my estimation is really that there's no bet to make.
We estimate that the Jets will win approximately eight games, a number that isn't likely to be good enough to reach the postseason. However, at -250 on the no side, the value isn't there to make the play.
Of all of the options, the most value is with the Giants yes line, but I wouldn't go flocking to it. Their toughest competition is from the Packers and the Rams, both of which are struggling. While it's hard to say that you should play the -215, they're more likely than not to make the postseason.
Remember, they only need to finish ahead of one of those two squads to secure a Wild Card berth.