Sunday Night Football in Week 7 features a clash between the Atlanta Falcons and the San Francisco 49ers at Levi's Stadium in San Francisco, California.
- For more Sunday Night Football coverage, check out our Falcons vs 49ers preview.
For my top Falcons vs 49ers NFL PrizePicks and Underdog plays, I’m highlighting Mac Jones, Christian McCaffrey, and Jake Tonges.
Mac Jones
Less Than 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Mac Jones has been more than suitable as a backup for the 49ers this season. However, he's in a very tough matchup against a Falcons secondary that ranks second in opponent completion percentage and yards per pass allowed.
That's not all, as Atlanta is also second in sack rate. Jones is going to be facing pressure and tight coverage all game long, which will force the 49ers to find success on the ground.
This should carry over to the red zone, where San Francisco does not throw the ball much anyway. Jones has averaged just four red zone passing attempts this season, so the odds of him tossing two touchdown passes are much worse than the current price indicates.
Christian McCaffrey
Less Than 5.5 Receptions
Building off the tough matchup described above, Christian McCaffrey should also see far less work in the passing game. While he has done everything and more for San Francisco this season, the returns of George Kittle and Jauan Jennings should take some of the load off.
The Falcons have been extremely tough on opposing running backs, allowing the fewest receiving yards and the third-fewest catches against them this season.
Look for McCaffrey to have a much quieter night as the Falcons won't let him be the one to beat them.
Jake Tonges
More Than 6.5 Receiving Yards
Lastly, we target now backup tight end Jake Tonges. While George Kittle is expected to have no restrictions in his return tonight, Tonges played exceptionally well in his absence and likely earned himself a small role in the offense despite Kittle's availability.
Tonges averages 9.7 yards per reception, over his six games played this season, and holds a 74 percent catch rate. It's highly likely that he'll only need one catch to exceed this mark, and it wouldn't surprise me to see him have a handful of targets tonight.
