NFL Props

NFL Expert Prop Bets

SEA
3-3
DEN
4-2
81 picks
12:15 AM
Amazon Prime Video
HOU
1-4
JAC
4-1
12 picks
1:30 PM
NFL Network
CHI
3-2
ATL
2-3
10 picks
5:00 PM
FOX
BAL
4-1
CLE
3-2
2 picks
5:00 PM
FOX
PIT
3-2
TB
1-4
9 picks
5:00 PM
CBS
NYJ
2-3
NE
3-2
5 picks
5:00 PM
CBS
NO
1-4
NYG
3-1-1
6 picks
5:00 PM
FOX
CAR
2-2
PHI
2-3
8 picks
5:00 PM
CBS
TEN
0-5
IND
2-3
5 picks
5:00 PM
FOX
ARI
1-4
LA
2-3
4 picks
8:05 PM
FOX
BUF
4-1
LV
3-2
5 picks
8:25 PM
CBS
LAC
0-5
KC
4-0
7 picks
8:25 PM
CBS
DAL
2-3
GB
3-2
10 picks
12:20 AM
NBC/Peacock
WAS
1-3-1
SF
5-0
4 picks
12:15 AM
ABC/ESPN
Sean Koerner🔮
Sean Koerner🔮
Last 30d: 40-48-0 (+0.5u)
Barner has only cleared this in 1 of 5 games, but I think this is a pretty sneaky buy-low spot. Denver is usually a man-heavy defense, but with Patrick Surtain and Riley Moss out last week they shifted much more toward zone and used two-high/MOFO at a 66% rate, second-highest in the league. Surtain is already out, Moss is questionable and Talanoa Hufanga is out too, so I’m expecting a fairly similar approach. That matters because Barner’s target rate is 6% higher against two-high/MOFO. And his usage with Sam Darnold has been much better than the early-season numbers suggest. With Drew Lock handling most of Weeks 1-2, Barner had just a 9% target rate. In Weeks 3-5 with Darnold, that’s jumped to 22%, and against two-high/MOFO specifically he’s been at 24%, only 2% behind JSN. I’d also expect Denver to devote plenty of attention to JSN, which could leave Barner with even more room underneath. Alex Singleton has been targeted 27 times in coverage, most among LBs, so there’s a pretty obvious matchup path too. Barner is also coming off a season-high 81% routes run rate and has caught just 60% of his targets this year after typically being closer to 76%, so there’s some positive catch-rate regression incoming too. After adjusting for all of that, I have his median closer to 28 yards with around a 59% chance to clear 23.5. And this is one where I think the projection may still be a little too conservative because I was pretty careful with each individual adjustment. The path to upside is better than the final 28 yard median projection probably makes it look.
Sean Koerner🔮
Sean Koerner🔮
Last 30d: 40-48-0 (+0.5u)
Quick note on the market: DK’s 1+ sack requires a full sack, so one 0.5 split sack does NOT cash. FanDuel is +320 for 0.5+ sacks, which I like too, but I’m showing slightly more value on the +427 and am willing to take on the risk of a split sack losing. Elliss ranks 12th in my sack luck “sack lunch” rankings and I have him closer to 1.8 expected sacks despite having 0 actual sacks. He nearly got Herbert twice last week, including one where he was starting to wrap him up before Herbert barely got the ball away out of bounds. This also looks like a good matchup to buy low. Elliss should spend plenty of time across from RT Abraham Lucas, who has been Seattle’s weakest link in pass protection with a team-high 11 pressures allowed and ranks 117th of 145 qualified OL in pressure rate allowed. Darnold also tends to hold the ball and doesn’t scramble much, so he invites pressure even if his sack rate under pressure is around league average. Elliss was more of a rotational player last year, but he’s essentially taken over the Jonathan Cooper role opposite Nik Bonitto, so the playing time is there now too. I have Elliss around a 27% chance to get 1+ sack and roughly 33% to get 0.5+. Normally the split-sack risk would push me toward FanDuel, but 8 of Darnold’s 9 sacks this year have been solo, so I’m taking the extra payout at +427.
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 157-210-2 (-7.7u)
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 157-210-2 (-7.7u)
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 157-210-2 (-7.7u)
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 157-210-2 (-7.7u)
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 157-210-2 (-7.7u)
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 157-210-2 (-7.7u)
PRO
NFL Prop Projections
PlayerPickPROOddsEdge
R.Stevenson Image
New England Patriots Logo
Rush Att
10/18 5:00 pm
NYJ @ NE
Under
Rush Att
12.00
u16.5-115
36.4%
D.Pierce Image
Philadelphia Eagles Logo
Rush Att
10/18 5:00 pm
CAR @ PHI
Rush Att
J.Brissett Image
Arizona Cardinals Logo
Rush Att
10/18 8:05 pm
ARI @ LA
Rush Att

NFL Prop Odds Comparison

See All

Expert Analysis on NFL Props

Prop Bets By Game

See All
NFL Player Prop Categories

Best NFL Prop Bets Today

Action Network offers your go-to hub for NFL prop bets.

Our NFL prop experts ranging from Markus Markets to John Lanfranca deliver the best picks to help you get an edge on your prop bets.

Additionally, we compare NFL prop odds from different sportsbooks so you can find the best value.

We also produce NFL prop model projections and compare them against posted lines, helping you find even more value.

What Is an NFL Prop?

Proposition bets, more commonly known as prop bets, are wagers that are placed on side outcomes that do not necessarily directly affect the outcome of the game. Some examples of NFL prop bets are a player’s over/under in rushing yards for a given game or season or an over/under on how much a team will score in a game.

Most Common NFL Player Props

At some of the best sportsbooks (check out our FanDuel Promo Code, DraftKings Promo Code, and theScore Bet Promo Code) bettors can make picks on various NFL prop bets.

Some of the most common NFL player prop markets that you can wager on for season-long outcomes and week-to-week throughout the season include anytime touchdown props, passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, first touchdown scorer, touchdown passes, and receptions.

What to Consider Before Placing NFL Prop Bets

Before diving into the best NFL prop bets, you must set aside an appropriate bankroll and, ultimately, bet well within your means and responsibly.

Next, you want to make sure you do plenty of research. There is so much content, information, and analytic insight that you can dive into regarding specific matchups and trends that can help make you a winning bettor.

And finally, make sure to have fun! As long as you are betting within your means, betting on NFL player props should be for entertainment purposes first and foremost.

If you can't use sportsbooks to place NFL prop bets, consider trying prediction markets. These federally regulated exchanges list event contracts tied to NFL props and offer NFL prediction market promos to boost your bankroll.

Want More?

Aside from our NFL prop bets hub, we have plenty of resources available to you, such as NFL Odds, NFL Futures, NFL Picks, and NFL ATS Standings. 

How Our Tools Work

At Action Network Pro, users can create sports betting edges using our tool. Just toggle the “All Props” drop-down menu, and you’ll find a list of +EV (plus expected value) NFL player props using our tool.

As a sports bettor, the objective is to create a positive expected value, a probability gap between a bettor’s line and a sportsbook. For example, our Action Pros may set a line of -180 versus a price of -110, commonly found at major online sportsbooks. This would create a 22.74% edge!

At Action Pro, using our tool, we’ll designate the best price depending on whichever player prop menu you want to use, and we’ll compare that price versus our own to see if there is any edge you can take advantage of!

NFL Player Props FAQs
Where can I bet NFL player props?
Almost every major American sportsbook offers NFL player props, though some have more than others.
What kind of NFL props do sportsbooks offer?
Examples of NFL player props include: player to score a touchdown, player to score the game's first TD, over/under receiving yards or passing yards, longest completion over/under a pre-determined amount, player to score 2+ TDs, etc.
Are NFL props a good bet?
It depends on the bet, of course. But NFL player props are often a more exploitable market than sides and totals, which have higher limits and are more efficient.