NFL Week 4 Luck Rankings Dashboard: Edges for Games, INTs, Sacks, FGs, More

Welcome to the Action Network NFL Luck Rankings dashboard for Week 4!

This dashboard will be updated weekly throughout the NFL season to provide you a full look into many — but not all — of the luck elements that go into Action Network's Luck Rankings.

I say not all, because this Luck Dashboard is focused on the most common luck elements that are either:

1. Out of a team's control, or
2. Above or below the predictable level of a player or team's performance

For example, we can't expect a kicker to make every single kick forever. There's some natural kicking performance level that a kicker could exceed or fail to meet on any given week that depends on a plethora of factors.

So when I talk about kicking luck, I'm not just looking at opposing kicking luck, where a team has almost no control over whether the other team's kicker makes a kick, but also the kicker's own luck above or below his own performance level.

And this expected performance level can move as the kicker's performance level changes.

To get the most out of these dashboards, make sure you use the following features:

1. Dropdowns: Click on a team or table element and a dropdown will appear with a more in-depth breakdown
2. Backup mode: For teams that have had multiple QBs play so far this year, toggle backup mode on in the QB INT and QB Sack tables to see the backup QB's luck and projection should they become the starter that week.
3. WP/EP mode: WP mode is for win probability. Fumbles in high-leverage situations add or take away win probability more in late-game situations when it's close. But in terms of expected points — EP mode — it would be a similar number of expected points regardless of game situation.
4. Sorting: Click a column header to sort the table by that column's values
5. Night mode: Toggle night mode on or off both on mobile and desktop.
6. Over/Under percentages: For tabs with a projection (QB INT, QB sacks, Kickers), there are dropdowns to choose a market line over or under, and an associated percentage will display with it.
7. Hyperlinks: Click a team name to go to the team page, or in some of the clickable dropdowns there are hyperlinks to other pages in the dashboard.
8. Team colors: If you have a favorite NFL team, you can choose theme in the "theme" dropdown and click their helmet once to have the table header display in their colors. In dark mode, you can also click a second time for the full table, not just the headers, to display in their colors.

Also, there are more new tabs this week.

1. INJURY: Injury luck, which only counts going from a starter to a non-starter (not from a backup to another backup). By clicking on the row of the team you want to look at, you'll see a drilldown of the missing player(s) and their performance percentile value.
2. PROPS: A few game props I've been looking at this year. I'll add more as I dig into them.
3. CLOSE: One-score game breakdown for each team
4. MARGINS: Expected Scores margins and actual score margins and some analysis on it like "Stolen Wins" and "Robbed Wins."
5. QB RUSH/LONG: QB rushing yardage and rushing yardage luck, and QB longest rush projections and longest rush luck
6. TEAM TAB – MATCHUP: In the team tab, you can look at each team's matchup for the week (or past and future weeks).

So here is the NFL Luck Rankings Dashboard for Week 4. I'm happy to receive any feedback about bugs, improvements, or things you'd like to see on it going forward!

NFL Luck Rankings Dashboard