Packers vs Cowboys Picks, Predictions & Parlay Options

Lambeau Field hosts a rematch of last year’s wild 40-40 tie, and this time both sides arrive with something to prove. Dallas sits at 2-3 after a rough Thursday night loss to Tampa Bay, while Green Bay climbs to 3-2 off a lopsided win over Chicago. Here’s how I’m leaning on the spread, moneyline and total before Sunday’s 8:20 p.m. ET kickoff. But before we continue, be sure to check out our Polymarket review, grab the Polymarket promo code, and download the Action Network app for more NFL picks and predictions.

Let's get into my Packers vs. Cowboys prediction and my NFL predictions for week 6.

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SPREAD

Green Bay opened as the favorite at home, and the number has settled at just a point and a half, about as thin as a line gets. Covering it is close to a coin flip on Polymarket, a fair read on a Packers team that still hasn’t put together a complete game this season despite the lopsided score last week.

MONEYLINE

Straight up, the Packers holds a modest edge. The home crowd and a defense that’s been stingy against the run give the Packers a real advantage, though Dallas has shown it can hang with anyone when Dak Prescott and the passing game get rolling early.

TOTAL

Both offenses have had their moments and their letdowns through five weeks, and the total reflects a game that could go either way on pace. Early activity leans slightly toward the Under, even with the memory of last year’s shootout still fresh for both fan bases.

My Pick: Packers, moneyline.

• Packers-Cowboys Point Spread: Packers 49¢ · Cowboys 48¢
• Packers-Cowboys Total: Over/Under 53.5
• Packers-Cowboys Moneyline: Packers 52¢ · Cowboys 49¢

NFL 2026 Week 6 Picks

Week 6 of the 2026 NFL season brings one of the league’s oldest rivalries back to primetime, as Dallas heads to Green Bay looking to shake off a short-week stumble against the Buccaneers. The Packers, meanwhile, are coming off their most complete outing of the year, though a run defense that’s struggled for most of the season gives the Cowboys an obvious avenue of attack.

Green Bay’s run defense has been one of the weaker units in the league this season, ranking near the bottom in yards allowed per carry, and that’s exactly the kind of matchup a banged-up Cowboys offensive line can exploit if it leans on the ground game early.

CeeDee Lamb is dealing with a quad issue that isn’t considered serious, which should keep Dallas’s passing attack honest enough to avoid a repeat of last week’s offensive letdown. Trading on this one has stayed fairly close all week, with Green Bay’s side holding a modest but consistent lead. Rather than chase the moneyline favorite, I’d rather look to the total: a defensive-minded approach from both sides points toward a game that stays under the number more often than it doesn’t.

Pick: Under

• Green Bay is pulling a modest edge in moneyline activity, reflecting its status as the slight favorite at home.
• The spread is drawing an almost even split, a sign the market isn’t fully sold on the Packers covering even with the win over Chicago fresh in memory.
• Total trading leans toward the Under, despite last season’s high-scoring meeting between these two teams.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Green Bay Packers is scheduled for 8:20 PM ET, live from Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin. The game is live on NBC.