Patriots vs. Bills NFL Weather Forecast: Extreme Cold Temperatures Expected for Saturday Wild Card Game

Patriots vs. Bills NFL Weather Forecast: Extreme Cold Temperatures Expected for Saturday Wild Card Game article feature image
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Photo by Brett Carlsen/Getty Images. Pictured: Stadium workers clear snow at New Era Stadium

Patriots vs. Bills Odds

Patriots Odds +4.5
Bills Odds -4.5
Over/Under 44
Date Saturday, Jan. 15
Time 8:15 p.m. ET
TV CBS

*Odds as of Saturday morning

For the third time this season the New England Patriots will meet the Buffalo Bills — this time with both teams’ seasons on the line.

In their first matchup, the Patriots topped the Bills, 14-10, in a game strongly affected by heavy winds and snow.

Weather will once again be a big story for tonight’s Patriots vs. Bills NFL wild-card game as temperatures are expected to dip into the single digits on Saturday night in Buffalo, which certainly won’t be all that fun for the players.

So what does this mean from a football betting perspective?

Should bettors expect another low-scoring affair in Buffalo between these two AFC East rivals?

Not all “wintry forecasts” are created equally and the betting-value devil is in the details.

Let’s take a look at the latest Patriots vs. Bills NFL weather forecast and what it means for finding an edge in Saturday’s NFL Wild Card Round matchup.

Patriots vs. Bills NFL Weather Forecast

According to the National Weather Service, temperatures are expected to drop to just 1 degree in Buffalo on Saturday, making this one the coldest NFL games in recent memory.

In fact, per our Bet Labs software, which tracks and archives historical betting data (including weather), tonight’s Patriots vs. Bills matchup is expected to be played in average temperatures of 7 degrees, making it the eighth-coldest NFL game we’ve tracked since 2003.

Any weather forecasting service can tell you that it’s going to be cold in Buffalo, but very few can explain how NFL bettors can take advantage.

Well, low temperatures mean to bet the Patriots vs. Bills under, right?

Wrong.

Based on our research, wind is a much more significant factor when it comes to NFL scoring that cold temperatures, and Saturday night’s game in Buffalo is expecting calm 5 mph breezes.

According to Action Labs, 55.4% of NFL games played in freezing temperatures (32 degrees and below) with average winds below 10 mph have gone over the closing total.

There’s no doubt that it’s going to be cold for Patriots vs. Bills tonight, but with the lack of wind this has historically resulted in higher-than-expected scoring.

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