The Philadelphia Eagles (4-2) and Minnesota Vikings (3-2) face off in Week 7 on Sunday, Oct. 19. Kickoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Min. The game will broadcast live on FOX.
The Eagles are 1.5-point favorites over the Vikings on the spread (Eagles -1.5), with the over/under set at 44 points. Philadelphia is a -130 favorite to win outright on the moneyline while Minnesota is +110 to pull off the upset.
Can the Eagles put an end to their two-game losing streak in Week 7? Find my Eagles vs Vikings prediction for today's game below.
Eagles vs Vikings Prediction
- Eagles vs Vikings pick: Vikings +1.5 (-110)
My Vikings vs. Eagles best bet is on Minnesota to cover the spread, with the best price currently available at bet365. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Eagles vs Vikings Odds
| Eagles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -110 | 44 -110o / -110u | -130 |
| Vikings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -110 | 44 -110o / -110u | +110 |
Eagles vs Vikings Week 7 Preview
The Vikings have one of the best home-field advantages in the league on the artificial turf of U.S. Bank Stadium.
The Vikings' offensive line should be close to full strength this week. Their center, Ryan Kelly, is still on injured reserve, but their backup, Michael Jurgens, logged full practices this week, as well as right tackle Brian O'Neill. Donovan Jackson also looks like he will be back at left guard.
Minnesota is finally going to be close to full strength on the offensive line, and the Vikings are just getting much healthier in general, with the possible return of linebacker Blake Cashman and maybe even Andrew Van Ginkel, although the latter is less probable.
On the Eagles' side, not so much luck.
Defensive end Jalen Carter is banged up, most of their offensive line is dealing with some kind of injury, and most importantly, it looks like cornerback Quinyon Mitchell will not play in this game as he is listed as questionable with a hamstring issue.
What does that mean?
It means that Kelee Ringo and Adoree' Jackson are going to be the starting corners against Minnesota's elite group of receivers. I don't care who's playing quarterback for the Vikings this week.
I actually have Carson Wentz rated higher than JJ McCarthy. It's not by much, but there's more variance with McCarthy, who has a higher upside, especially after a bye week.
However, Wentz has been solid. He ranks 11th in success rate, 11th in adjusted EPA per play and 11th in completion percentage + EPA.
I really like this matchup for Minnesota's defense. If you look closely, the Eagles are not playing good football right now. They just got dominated by the Giants, and they had a pure-luck win against the Rams. They really should be 2-4, or at the very least, 3-3.
The Eagles offense doesn't look the same under new offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo. They have had trouble completing passes against zone coverage and the blitz.
Against zone, they're at -0.18 EPA per play. Their average was +0.15 EPA per play with the previous three offense coordinators. Versus the blitz, they have a -0.42 EPA per play, compared to roughly +0.15 EPA per play with their last three offensive coordinators.
Jalen Hurts and company can’t move the ball against the blitz, nor the zone.
Well, guess what? They're playing the Vikings, who blitz at a top-five rate in the league, and they have Brian Flores as defensive coordinator so they also play as much zone as anyone in the league.
You can even take this analysis one step further.
Hurts has been particularly horrendous against Cover 2. He has a 35% success rate and a -0.25 EPA per play against Cover 2 defense. That's a poverty-level success rate, and it is dead last among all current quarterbacks.
The Eagles have lost two straight games — at home against the Broncos, and on the road against the Giants. According to Evan Abrams, you don't necessarily want to expect teams to bounce back early in the season. Teams that are over .500 straight up (SU), coming off two straight losses are just 53-68-5 (44%) against the spread (ATS) in November or earlier since 2003.
Also, the bounce-back spot hasn’t been a great spot for Nick Sirianni’s Eagles. When the Eagles are coming off a loss under Sirianni, they are 7-14 ATS the following game.
Eagles vs Vikings Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Eagles offense draws a really tough matchup in this spot. Plus, they lead the league in three-and-out rate, and they are a 4-2 team with a negative point differential on the season.
Saquon Barkley is being contacted behind the line of scrimmage on 36% of his carries, which is the second-most in the league and the highest of his career. For reference, it was under 25% last year.
Barkley has rushed for fewer than 60 yards in four straight games entering this week, which is the second-longest streak of his career.
On the flip side, the Eagles defense simply isn't elite anymore, and they are dealing with a handful of key injuries. They rank 19th in EPA per play and 19th in success rate. They have an average pressure rate, and now they will be missing their top cornerback and Jalen Carter is banged up.
I think the Vikings will get the job done at home here, regardless of who plays quarterback. And one of these days, the refs are actually going to call the tush push right, and it's going to cost the Eagles four points.
Pick: Vikings +1.5 (-110)
Spread
My Vikings vs Eagles betting prediction is on Minnesota to cover the spread at +1.5.
Moneyline
I'm targeting the Vikings +1.5 instead of the moneyline market in this spot.
Over/Under
I'm staying away from the total in this matchup.
