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New York Jets Now Favored Over Minnesota Vikings to Land $230 Million QB

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Bryan M. Bennett/Getty Images. Use the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code ACTION to claim a 100-to-1 odds boost for Cardinals QB Kyler Murray on Thursday Night Football vs. the Seahawks today.

The New York Jets have emerged as the betting favorite to land Kyler Murray, with prediction markets on Kalshi showing increased activity around the quarterback's potential landing spots as his Arizona Cardinals tenure appears headed for an end.

Market sentiment has shifted dramatically in favor of the Jets over the Minnesota Vikings, who were previously considered the frontrunner for the $230 million quarterback. The momentum change comes as reports surface about potential connections between Murray and new Jets head coach Aaron Glenn, who may provide an inside track for New York's pursuit of the former No. 1 overall pick.

You can trade on NFL Free Agency and other sporting events, as well as thousands of additional markets, at Kalshi, which is available in most states. We wrote a full explainer on how it works here, and have a Kalshi promo code ready if you want to get in on the action.

Jets Favored to Land Kyler Murray

Odds are via Kalshi and update every hour.

NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reported at the NFL Draft Combine that he expects the Cardinals to release Murray if they can't find a trade partner before the new league year begins on March 11. Arizona's willingness to move on from their franchise quarterback has created a feeding frenzy among teams desperate for signal-caller upgrades.

The Jets' positioning as the new favorite stems from multiple factors beyond just Glenn's potential relationship with Murray. New York is expected to cut Justin Fields, freeing them from the second year of his contract signed last March and creating both cap space and roster flexibility for a major quarterback acquisition.

Murray's massive contract initially appeared to be a deterrent for interested teams, but reports suggest Arizona may become desperate enough to attach draft compensation to facilitate a trade. This development could make the 27-year-old quarterback more attractive to franchises like the Jets, who have been searching for stability at the position.

The prediction market movement reflects the broader NFL landscape, where teams with established coaching staffs and organizational stability hold advantages in high-profile pursuits. Glenn's hiring and the Jets' apparent willingness to move on from Fields quickly has positioned them favorably in what's expected to be a competitive bidding process.

With the March 11 deadline looming, expect continued volatility in the betting markets as more details emerge about Murray's preferred destinations and Arizona's willingness to facilitate his departure.

What is Kalshi?

Different than a traditional sportsbook and available in most states, Kalshi allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, entertainment, elections, and even weather.

Kalshi operates on a contract-based system where users buy "contracts" (priced between 1–99 cents) based on whether they believe a specific event will happen. The price of each contract fluctuates in real time based on market sentiment, and like the stock market, traders can sell positions early to lock in profits (or minimize losses).

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About the Author
Ian ValentinoPrediction Markets Editor

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