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Tom Brady Is Most Valuable NFL Playoff QB, Aaron Donald and Davante Adams Are Most Valuable Non-QBs To Spreads

Tom Brady Is Most Valuable NFL Playoff QB, Aaron Donald and Davante Adams Are Most Valuable Non-QBs To Spreads article feature image
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Getty Images. Pictured: Bucs QB Tom Brady, Rams DT Aaron Donald, Packers WR Davante Adams

Sean Koerner — our Director of Predictive Analytics and the seventh-most accurate fantasy football ranker of this season — projected the spread value of every quarterback and key player in the Divisional Round of the 2022 NFL playoffs.

He also captures the relative value of starters on both sides of the ball for every team using a color scale, adding the approximate number of points a select few are worth to the spread. We’ve outlined those in order of this round’s matchups below the ranking of quarterback values.

Note: Each player’s value is relative to their worth to their team, the depth behind them, and other context-rich situations.


Divisional Round QB Spread Values

Quarterback Team Points
Tom Brady Bucs 8.5
Aaron Rodgers Packers 8
Patrick Mahomes Chiefs 8
Josh Allen Bills 6.5
Joe Burrow Bengals 5.5
Ryan Tannehill Titans 5.5
Matthew Stafford Rams 5.5
Jimmy Garoppolo 49ers 2.5-3


Most Valuable Non-QBs

Player POS Team Pts
Aaron Donald DE Rams 2
Davante Adams WR Packers 1.5-2
Cooper Kupp WR Rams 1.5
Jalen Ramsey CB Rams 1.5
A.J. Brown WR Titans 1-1.5
Chris Jones DE Chiefs 1-1.5
Mike Evans WR Bucs 1-1.5
Tyreek Hill WR Chiefs 1-1.5
Travis Kelce TE Chiefs 1-1.5
Deebo Samuel WR 49ers 1
Derrick Henry RB Titans 1
George Kittle TE 49ers 1
Nick Bose DE 49ers 1
Rob Gronkowski TE Bucs 1
Stefon Diggs WR Bills 1

Spread Values By Team

Not every player is worth anything to the spread, but Sean rates the relative value of each team’s starters by using the following color scale.


Bengals-Titans Values


49ers-Packers Values


Rams-Bucs Values


Bills-Chiefs Values

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