Matchbook Promo Code: Prediction Markets to Launch in the U.S.?

TL;DR

• Matchbook is exchange-first, not a traditional online sports betting-style product.

• A U.S. rollout would run through the CFTC-regulated lane.

• Promo details for the U.S. are TBD.

What Is Matchbook?

Matchbook is a betting exchange, not a traditional online sportsbook. Instead of the house setting the odds, users post prices, other users accept them, and Matchbook charges commission on net winnings.

Simply put, you’re not just picking from a menu. You can take the odds that are already available, or enter your own price and wait to be matched. When liquidity is there, that’s usually where the more competitive odds come from.

Key Features of Matchbook

• Low-commission pricing, plus Matchbook Zero markets (it's a zero margin and zero commission on chosen events)

• A heavy footprint in football and horse racing, with other sports depending on the day’s market list

• In-play markets, so prices update during games

• Cash-out / position tools in some markets (it’s a “trade out” depending on how the market is built)

• Bet builder tools in some places, but not across everything

• Matchbook app on iOS and Android, plus desktop

• An order-book style view, so you can actually see market depth instead of guessing

• Customer support and responsible trading tools like limits, time-outs, and self-exclusion

When Is Matchbook Coming to the U.S.?

There's no confirmed date for Matchbook's prediction markets to launch in the U.S. The plan involves navigating the regulatory process with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) through a partner company, RSBIX, LLC. However, filing for review doesn't provide specific details on timing, available markets, or distribution.

So the near-term thing to watch is the United Kingdom rollout. Matchbook has said the UK product is the first stop, with reporting pointing to a January 2026 rollout/soft launch. However, UK regulation is gambling-style, which usually means a tighter menu, especially around current-affairs categories. Even if the interface looks like U.S.-style prediction markets, the market list may not be a perfect mirror of what would appear in the United States.

If Matchbook ever comes to the U.S., it may compete with some of the best prediction market apps out there.

U.S. Prediction Markets Current Landscape

Even with Matchbook still pending, the industry already has platforms offering event-style markets. Some are CFTC-regulated event-contract exchanges, and some are crypto or alternative structures. That means availability, protections, and where you can legally access them can differ.

• Kalshi: a federally regulated event-contract exchange that’s become the default U.S. reference point.

• Polymarket: a major crypto-based prediction markets brand

• Novig: a sports prediction market that runs on a sweepstakes model

• Crypto.com: has pushed sports event trading through its U.S. derivatives setup and partnerships

• FanDuel Predicts: a state-by-state product launched with CME Group

• DraftKings Predicts: announced as a standalone predictions app

• Fanatics Markets: rolled out via partnership distribution

Different rails, different eligibility, same core behavior: you’re trading outcomes, and the price moves with the market.

What We Expect From Matchbook

We can expect Matchbook to launch with Yes/No contracts priced like a probability, aka the same “cents on the dollar” look we’ve seen elsewhere. The part worth watching is how it trades. Matchbook already lives in the betting exchanges world, so the natural fit is an interface that treats every buy as something you might later sell to someone else. You can buy at the current price, or set the price you want and wait to see if another user matches it.

In prediction markets, most contracts are just Yes/No. If “Yes” is trading at 62¢, the market is basically saying “roughly a 62% chance.” If “Yes” ends up being right, that contract finishes worth $1. If it’s wrong, it finishes worth $0 (fees aside).

What Markets Could Be Available at Launch?

Matchbook has talked about sports markets (season outcomes, winners, big matchups) and politics markets (elections and other major political events, depending on what’s permitted) as the starting lane.

If the menu expands over time, the common next stops in prediction markets are:

• Culture and entertainment

• Weather-related events

• Financial or economic indicators

• Major world events with clear settlement rules

Possible Banking Options in the U.S.

Deposit/withdrawal methods haven’t been confirmed for a U.S. Matchbook prediction markets product. If it launches via the CFTC lane, we can expect the platform to publish approved funding methods (and promo eligibility rules) inside the terms.

Just keep in mind some platforms treat deposit methods differently when promotions exist. So if a promo code or sign up offer ever shows up later, don’t be shocked if some payment methods end up excluded in the terms.

Expected Matchbook Sign-Up Process

Nothing about a U.S. rollout is confirmed, but regulated platforms usually follow the same steps:

1. Create a new Matchbook account

2. Enter your details

3. Complete identity verification (KYC)

4. Make a deposit

5. Access markets and start to trade

Risks and Things Traders Should Understand

Event contracts are easy to buy. Managing the position after you’ve clicked “buy” is the part people mess up.

If you don’t want to get rage-baited, remember this:

• Prices can move fast when a new rumor or headline hits. Sports and politics are the classic chaos zones.

• You can’t assume you’ll exit at the price you want. When you sell, you’re selling to whoever’s buying right then. If there aren’t enough buyers at your price, you either wait, or take a worse price.

Micro-lesson: “Liquidity” doesn’t mean “the market is right”

Liquidity just means it’s easier to buy or sell without the price jumping around. It doesn't mean the market’s prediction is true.

People trade for tons of reasons. Either they’re guessing, they’re reacting to a gut-feeling or a tweet, they’re bored, or they’re trying to move the price. What does that tell you? The market can be liquid and still be wrong.

RELATED: Liquidity vs. Accuracy

Micro-lesson: Open Interest vs. Volume

• Volume = how many trades happened in a certain time period.

  • Think: “How busy was it today?”

• Open interest = how many positions are still open right now.

  • Think: “How many people are still holding bets?”

You can see big volume with low open interest when people are going in and out fast. That can be totally normal: it just means the crowd might not be holding the outcome with much confidence. More like “everyone’s trading the drama” than “everyone believes this is the final answer.”

RELATED: Open Interest vs. Volume

Responsible Trading

If the platform offers tools like deposit limits, time-outs, or self-exclusion, use them. They exist for a reason. And if you want an outside safety net in the U.S., the National Council on Problem Gambling is a solid place to start.

Safe, responsible trading is how these platforms are meant to be used. Spiraling into revenge-trading over a headline is how people mess up.

Final Take: Matchbook’s Potential Role in U.S. Prediction Markets

If Matchbook prediction markets ever launch in the U.S., the key question is whether they deliver an exchange-style experience where it matters: entries that execute close to the price you see, exits that are reliable (not luck-dependent), and a clear view of price and available supply so you understand what you’re paying and what you can realistically sell.

Promotions are secondary. If they appear, read the terms carefully, especially anything tied to “qualifying bets,” since that’s usually where restrictions and exclusions show up.