What’s at Stake on the Final Day of 2018-19 Premier League Season?
Getty Images. Pictured: Manchester City’s Vincent Kompany.
- The final day of the Premier League season is Sunday, May 12th with all twenty clubs playing at 10 a.m. ET across the NBC Sports networks.
- Manchester City and Liverpool are still battling for the Premier League title but Man City are -1000 favorites to repeat as champions with a one-point lead over Liverpool.
- We've broken down what's at stake for the final matches of the EPL season including the title, top-four, goalscorer and team point over/unders.
With 20 minutes to go in Monday night’s match at Etihad Stadium, Manchester City were still tied with Leicester City, 0-0, needing to find a goal from somewhere. Enter Vincent Kompany.
GOAL Manchester City!
Vincent Kompany (!) scorches one into the top corner to give Man City (-575) a 1-0 lead over Leicester City.pic.twitter.com/C0tQKMoHd9
— Action Network Soccer (@ActionNetSoccer) May 6, 2019
Leicester City did get a prime opportunity to tie it with less than five minutes to go, but couldn’t spoil the evening for Manchester City, who retain their one-point advantage over Liverpool for the title.
The Reds escaped their Week 37 match with a 3-2 win at Newcastle, but lost star Mo Salah to a concussion amid injuries to Roberto Firmino and Naby Keita.
Liverpool are now listed at +650 odds to win the league and will need help from Brighton to take points from Man City.
Brighton are +1400 to beat Man City and +725 to draw, while Liverpool are -300 home favorites to beat Wolves.
Manchester City will win the Premier League automatically if they beat Brighton in the last match. They’re listed at -700 to do so, but they could also win the league by drawing or losing if Liverpool fail to win.
The Sky Blues’ highest odds reached +260 in January and they spent most of that month as the underdogs. From then on, they couldn’t be stopped.
Premier League Top-Four Finish
A top-four finish is crucial since it ensures a Champions League spot for next season. Manchester City and Liverpool clinched a while ago while Chelsea sealed a berth this past weekend.
It’s now down to Arsenal and Tottenham for the final position, but Spurs have a massive advantage with a three-point lead and eight-goal advantage in the differential tiebreaker. The Gunners play at Burnley and are +105 to win, while Tottenham are listed at -105 to beat Everton (+325).
There will be no drama at the bottom of the table since Huddersfield, Fulham and Cardiff City have already officially been relegated from the Premier League season.
Prior to the season, Cardiff City were -130 to be relegated while Huddersfield were +125 and Fulham +300.
Liverpool’s Mo Salah (concussion) is highly questionable to play this weekend but leads the league with 22 goals.
Arsenal’s Pierre-Emrick Aubameyang, Liverpool’s Sadio Mane and Manchester City’s Sergio Aguero all sit on 20 goals apiece with a chance to overtake Salah.
- Teams that can go over with a win in the last match: Arsenal, Brighton, Cardiff City, Crystal Palace, Leicester City
- Teams that can go over with a draw or win in the last match: Crystal Palace
- Teams that went over this season: Bournemouth, Chelsea, Everton, Liverpool, Manchester City, Watford, West Ham, Wolves
- Teams that went under this season: Burnley, Fulham, Huddersfield, Manchester United, Newcastle, Southampton and Tottenham
Arsenal have roughly a 50% chance of beating Burnley and getting to 70 points to clinch the over by a half-point.
Brighton aren’t likely to hit theirs as they need to beat Man City as +1400 underdogs, and Cardiff City are in the same position as +1100 ‘dogs at Manchester United.
Crystal Palace are slight -115 home favorites to defeat Bournemouth, but they can also hit the over with a draw (+310 odds).
Leicester City are back home against a Chelsea side that has sealed their fate already and the Foxes are +180 to get a win after nearly stealing one at Man City.