The EPL Weekend Coupon: Identifying value in the soccer slate

The EPL Weekend Coupon: Identifying value in the soccer slate article feature image

Cléria De Souza (Flickr) – Wikimedia Commons

Rivalries will be renewed at The Emirates Stadium as Jose Mourinho and Manchester United pay Arsene Wenger and Arsenal a visit in the late kickoff in London, but there are plenty of other avenues for value on the EPL’s weekend coupon this week. 

EPL leaders Manchester City can extend their winning run to 13 in a row with victory at home against troubled West Ham on Sunday, while Chelsea plays host to Newcastle in another lopsided matchup on Saturday.

Away-day specialists Burnley travel to Leicester, and there’s a pivotal basement battle at The Hawthorns as West Bromwich Albion desperately looks to halt a 12-game winless run against bottom-of-the-table Crystal Palace.

Here’s the full match list for this weekend’s action, along with some preliminary thoughts on where value may lie among the fixtures this week.

Saturday, Dec. 2

Chelsea (-450) Draw (+525) Newcastle United (+1200)
Brighton & Hove Albion (+600) Draw (+335) Liverpool (-220)
Everton (-150) Draw (+270) Huddersfield Town (+425)
Leicester City (-130) Draw (+250) Burnley (+400)
Stoke City (-115) Draw (+235) Swansea City (+345)
Watford (+400) Draw (+290) Tottenham Hotspur (-145)
West Bromwich Albion (+140) Draw (+205) Crystal Palace (+215)
Arsenal (+145) Draw (+230) Manchester United (+195)

Sunday, Dec. 3

Bournemouth (+190) Draw (+210) Southampton (+160)
Manchester City (-1100) Draw (+1100) West Ham United (+1900)

Finding value:

  • With Manchester City scoring goals for fun and West Ham letting them in by the bucketload, their meeting at West Ham could be a bloodbath. City is -135 to beat a 2.5 goal spread. Given the fact they’ve hit three or more goals in five of their seven EPL home games so far (and considering West Ham hasn’t won in its last seven EPL outings), that’s not a terrible price at all.
  • West Brom (+140) is looking to end its 12-game winless run, and they’ve got the ideal opportunity to do so with a home clash with Crystal Palace. Not only is Palace rock-bottom of the table, they haven’t scored a single goal away from home in the EPL this season.
  • Burnley has taken all three points from their last two EPL away games (at Bournemouth and Southampton), and they’ve won three of their last four EPL games on the road. With that form in mind, the Clarets look to offer great value at +400 for their trip to inconsistent Leicester this weekend.


On a tear…

Current EPL win streaks
12: Manchester City
3: Manchester United, Arsenal

In a slump…

Current EPL losing streaks
3: Huddersfield Town
2: Stoke City

Games without an EPL win
12: West Bromwich Albion
7: West Ham United
6: Swansea City
5: Newcastle United


EPL Top Goalscorers
12: Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)
10: Harry Kane (Tottenham Hotspur)
9: Sergio Aguero (Man City), Raheem Sterling (Man City)
8: Gabriel Jesus (Man City), Romelu Lukaku (Man Utd), Alvaro Morata (Chelsea)
7: Alexandre Lacazette (Arsenal), Wayne Rooney (Everton, Jamie Vardy (Leicester)


EPL Top Assists
8: David Silva (Man City)
7: Kevin De Bruyne (Man City)
6: Leroy Sane (Man City)
5: Cesar Azpilicueta (Chelsea), Pascal Gross (Brighton), Henrikh Mkhitaryan (Man Utd), Mesut Ozil (Arsenal), Aaron Ramsey (Arsenal), Matt Ritchie (Newcastle), Xherdan Shaqiri (Stoke City)

[Image credit: Cleria de Souza (Flickr)]

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