Seattle Sounders FC and Botafogo RJ will face off today at 10:00 p.m. EDT at Lumen Field in Seattle.
Botafogo RJ is favored at a +120 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (+125 over/-155 under) goals.
Let's get into my Sounders FC vs. Botafogo RJ prediction.
Sounders FC vs. Botafogo RJ Prediction
Pick: Both Teams To Score – Yes
My Sounders FC vs. Botafogo RJ best bet is on both teams to score in this match.
Sounders FC vs. Botafogo RJ Club World Cup Odds
| Sounders FC Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -155 | 2.5 125o / -155u | +240 |
| Botafogo RJ Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 +110 | 2.5 125o / -155u | +120 |
Sounders FC vs. Botafogo RJ Picks
Leg 1: Both Teams To Score – Yes
Leg 2: Botafogo Over 1.5 Team Goals
Leg 3: Match – Over 23.5 Shots
The 18 goals in eight home games this season suggest the underdog Seattle Sounders have enough to leave an imprint on their opponent, Botafogo. The Brazilians boast an electric front line, with Igor Jesus keen to impress following his recent announcement of his move to Premier League outfit Nottingham Forest.
In addition to Igor Jesus, Botafogo added Arthur Cabral, who scored nine goals in 951 minutes. Another influential forward is Jefferson Savarino, who produced 23 goal contributions (scores and assists) in the previous campaign. These three will have to get going if the Brazilians are to advance.
Botafogo are the current holders of the Copa Libertadores, so in theory, they are South America’s best chance of success at the Club World Cup. There have been 24 or more shots in eight of their past 10 competitive matches. Those outings have seen an average of 26.5 attempts.
Seattle Sounders have the home advantage, so they will want to show plenty of attacking intent despite being the underdogs. Their last 10 matches have seen an average of 24.7 shots overall,
Sounders FC vs. Botafogo RJ Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Sounders FC | Draw | Botafogo RJ |
|---|---|---|
| 35.4% | 26.9% | 37.7% |
Projected Total Goals
| Sounders FC | Total Goals | Botafogo RJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | 2.20 | 1.12 |
Sounders FC vs. Botafogo RJ Betting Analysis, Prediction
Botafogo is seen as the firm favorite heading into this clash, with the market reflecting a noticeable lean toward the Brazilian side. Despite a minor shift in the opening odds, confidence in their victory has remained steady. With an implied probability of just under 60%, the expectation is they will control the tempo and emerge victorious.
Seattle Sounders, by contrast, is priced at a longer range. Their implied win probability is slightly above 20%, a reflection of both their inconsistent form this season and the perceived gap in squad depth. While they’ve had strong moments in MLS, replicating that against South American competition is another level entirely.
The goal market paints an interesting picture. The slight edge toward Under 2.5 goals implies a cautious approach from both sides or perhaps a mismatch in offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, the near-identical pricing on Both Teams To Score (Yes or No) seems contradictory compared to the 1x2 and Over/Under markets.
After only 11 games this season, Botafogo averages 1.27 goals per game. However, their xG (expected goals) paints a slightly different picture, standing at 1.64. They are sixth in the league based on goals scored but even lower (11th) based on xG.
Similarly, Seattle’s 1.47 goals per game after 17 rounds is also lower than their xG, which is 1.70. The Sounders are in a similar spot, sitting on sixth based on goals scored but fourth for expected goals.
In other words, despite both teams netting a slightly lower average against the rest of their domestic league, the bookies are still divided. With no previous matches between them, this is another reason why it can be challenging to predict the number of goals. Betting on the 1x2 market thus remains possibly the best option.
Sounders FC vs. Botafogo RJ Projected Starting Lineups
Sounders FC
Frei; Nouhou, Ragen, Bell, Kossa-Rienzi, Vargas, Roldan, de La Vega, Rusnak, Rothrock, Musovski.
Botafogo RJ
Victor; Telles, Ricardo, Jair, Vitinho, Rodriguez, Freitas, Gregore, Artur, Savarino, Jesus.
