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Euro 2020 Semifinal Odds, Preview: Italy & England Favored Over Spain & Denmark

Euro 2020 Semifinal Odds, Preview: Italy & England Favored Over Spain & Denmark article feature image

Ettore Ferrari/Pool/AFP via Getty Images. Pictured: England star Harry Kane.

And then there were four.

A wild Euro 2020 tournament had reached the semifinal round, with three powerhouses and a lovable underdog still alive. In a rematch of the Euro 2012 final, Italy and Spain will square off Tuesday at Wembley Stadium a day before England and Denmark do battle on the same ground.

Here are early lines, courtesy of DraftKings and a preview of each matchup:

(Odds as of Saturday evening)

Italy vs. Spain Odds

Italy Odds+155
Spain Odds+200
Over/Under2.5 (+130 / -159)
Day | TimeTuesday | 3 p.m. ET
How To WatchESPN | fuboTV
Odds updated Saturday evening via DraftKings.

Italy is sitting at -129 odds to go advance to the final, with Spain the slightt underdog at +105 odds.

With all due respect to England, the Italians have been the most impressive team of the tournament, due to their attacking flair. And that’s something not usually associated with Azzurri.

Italy has scored multiple goals in four of its five games, and the only contest in which it didn’t was a 1-0 win over Wales that saw the nation register 2.05 expected goals and feature a lineup primarily consisting of reserve players.

While no Italian player has more than two goals, the offensive attack has been thoroughly impressive. The midfield of Jorginho, Nicolo Barella and Marco Verratti thrived against Belgium, while Lorenzo Insigne scored a brilliant goal against the Red Devils and has been the star of the front three.

Italy has only conceded twice this tournament, once in extra time against Austria after going 2-0 up, and the other a penalty against Belgium. Otherwise, Gianluigi Donnarumma has proven to be one of the best goalkeepers in the world and Juventus duo Giorgio Chiellini and Leonardo Bonucci clearly have plenty left in the tank.

Meanwhile, Spain has been up and down all tournament. After scoring just once in two games, yet creating chances galore against Sweden and Poland, La Furia Roja exploded for 10 goals in their next two against Slovakia and Croatia. They wound up scoring twice in extra time in the latter fixture.

Then, it was back to square one against Switzerland. In the first 90 minutes against the Swiss, the Spanish scored on a fortunate own goal and created just 1.02 expected goals. Spain didn’t score in the 30 minutes of extra time, but still registered 2.17 xG before advancing in a penalty shootout.

England vs. Denmark Odds

Czech Republic Odds-152
Denmark Odds+480
Over/Under2.5 (+135 / -167)
Day | TimeWednesday | 3 p.m. ET
How To WatchESPN | fuboTV
Odds updated Saturday evening via DraftKings.

England has yet to concede at this tournament, keeping clean sheets against Croatia, Scotland, Czech Republic, Germany and Ukraine.

With their impressive attacking talent, the Three Lions hadn’t hit their stride going forward until a dominant 4-0 win over Ukraine. Harry Kane scored his second goal of the tournament in the fourth minute, though, and then Harry Maguire and Kane scored five minutes into the second half to put the game away. Jordan Henderson, like Maguire, scored off a set piece as well.

Maguire and John Stones have been stout in defense, while Declan Rice and Kalvin Phillips provide plenty of cover in the midfield. England did change its formation to match Germany’s 3-4-3 in its Round of 16 matchup, so it’s possible manager Gareth Southgate does the same against Denmark.

Going forward, Raheem Sterling has been England’s star with three goals and an assist, which came on Kane’s opener against Ukraine.

Denmark had to change how it plays after Christian Eriksen’s medical issue in its first game against Finland. Instead of a 4-2-3-1 setup with the Inter Milan playmaker leading the way, the Danes have successfully opted for a 3-4-3 that has seen them thrive.

After losing to Finland and Belgium to start the tournament, Denmark has outscored Russia, Wales and Czech Republic by a 10-2 margin over last past three games. With a strong defense and midfield that will be very familiar with the England team given its presence in the Premier League, it could be a difficult one for Southgate’s team.

Denmark will also have the confidence it they can play beat England. In the UEFA Nations League, Denmark and England tied back in September 2020 before winning 1-0 at Wembley Stadium the next month. However, Eriksen did feature in both games and scored on a penalty kick in the win. Maguire was sent off in the defeat for England.

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