Manchester City travels to Hill Dickinson Stadium in England to face Everton in a crucial Premier League match on Monday, May 4, 2026, with kickoff set for 3:00 PM EST. As City continues its title chase, Everton hopes to secure a spot in European competition. Let’s get into my Everton vs Manchester City prediction.
Everton vs Manchester City Prediction
My Everton vs Manchester City prediction is for Manchester City to win, while scoring fewer than four goals.
Everton vs Manchester City Odds
| Man City Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1 -150 | 2.5 -170o / 130u | -220 |
| Everton Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1 +105 | 2.5 -170o / 130u | +500 |
Everton vs Manchester City Picks
- Pick: Manchester City to Win & Under 4 City Goals (-125 at bet365)
- Pick: Half Time Result – Manchester City (-111 at bet365)
The path to another Premier League title is straightforward for Manchester City: win every remaining game and maintain a superior goal difference over Arsenal. However, this trip to face Everton does not read as a simple fixture where City will run up the score, creating a valuable betting angle.
Under David Moyes, Everton remains a disciplined and rugged opponent, particularly against elite teams. Moyes rarely employs an expansive tactical approach when facing the league's top sides, and that strategy has helped keep matches at the Hill Dickinson Stadium competitive. Only three visiting teams this season have managed to score three or more goals against Everton on their home turf. This defensive solidity makes a Manchester City victory, combined with the visitors scoring fewer than four goals, an appealing selection.
For our second pick, Manchester City has been the most dominant team in the first half of matches this season, holding a lead at the break in 21 of their 33 league games. With immense pressure to keep pace with Arsenal, expect Pep Guardiola’s side to push the attack from the opening whistle. Everton has shown recent vulnerability, conceding in the first 45 minutes against Liverpool while generating minimal offensive pressure. The Toffees have trailed at halftime in seven of their 17 home matches this season, adding value to backing City to be ahead after 45 minutes.
Everton vs Manchester City Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Everton | Draw | Manchester City |
| 18.4% | 21.6% | 60.0% |
Projected Total Goals
| Everton | Match Total | Manchester City |
| 0.95 | 2.90 | 1.95 |
Everton vs Manchester City Betting Analysis
The head-to-head history heavily favors Manchester City, who are unbeaten in the last 18 meetings with Everton. The Citizens have won five of the last six encounters, including the reverse fixture earlier this season, a 2-0 victory at the Etihad. Furthermore, City has won each of its last nine matches at Everton’s home ground, a stunning run of dominance on the road.
Current form also points toward an away win. City arrives on Merseyside amid a six-game winning streak across all competitions and is undefeated in its last 11 Premier League matches. In contrast, Everton is winless in its last three league games, a slump that has seriously jeopardized its chances for European qualification. While Everton has improved this season, its home form remains mediocre, averaging just 1.29 points per game and a goal difference of +1.
Motivation is high for both clubs, but City’s need to secure every possible point in the title race is paramount. They sit just three points behind Arsenal with a game in hand, making this a must-win fixture. While Everton will fight for a European spot, their recent form, combined with City’s quality and relentless pressure, should be the deciding factors in securing the victory for the visitors.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Everton vs Manchester City picks.
