A draw would ensure both Japan and Sweden advance, but the top of the group is still technically in play for both teams, especially Japan (7 p.m. ET, FOX).
For each match of the 2026 World Cup, I'll have my model projections and top betting edges listed in the widget below. My projections simulate each game 100,000 times and use the score-grid matrix to populate all sorts of game-level betting markets.
Additionally, I've pulled in most of the common U.S.-based books and their odds to find the best odds for each market. The top betting edges based on my model are listed at the top of the widget, but if you want to find a specific betting market or bet for the game, just scroll through the widget.
Here are my model projections for Japan vs. Sweden, with my own personal bets listed below the widget.
