Everton (2-1-1) and Liverpool (4-0) will face off today at 7:30 a.m. EDT at Anfield in Liverpool.
Liverpool is favored at a -222 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-165o / +128u) goals.
Let's get into my Everton vs. Liverpool prediction.
Everton vs. Liverpool Prediction
Picks: Under 3 Total Goals & Under 1.25 goals in the first half
My Everton vs. Liverpool best bet is a parlay that includes Match & First Half Total Goals with the best odds currently on Bet365.
Everton vs. Liverpool Odds
| Everton Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -172 | 2.5 -165o / +128u | +580 |
| Liverpool Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +120 | 2.5 -165o / +128u | -222 |
Everton vs. Liverpool Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Under 3 Total Goals
Leg 2: Under 1.25 Goals in the First Half
Liverpool takes on Atletico Madrid on Wednesday in the Champions League. The opening matchday of UEFA’s flagship domestic competition precedes the visit of Everton to Anfield for Arne Slot’s Reds. The Merseyside Derby is Saturday’s early kick-off, marking a quick turnaround of less than 72 hours from Wednesday evening.
The scheduling will affect the sharpness of the Liverpool players. Additionally, at this venue, Liverpool vs Everton rarely turns into a high-scoring spectacle. In fact, only once in ten games has this head-to-head at Anfield witnessed four or more goals. The fixture in question (5-2) came in 2019, six years ago.
Eight of the ten most recent fixtures between Everton and Liverpool at this venue have been paid out as winners on the under 3.0 goal line. One match saw bettors' stakes returned after three goals were scored.
If we ignore the 5-2 Liverpool win in 2019, this fixture averaged 1.33 goals per 90 from nine games hosted at Anfield. Mix that with Liverpool’s scheduling and their lack of potency in the final third in their most recent two Premier League games, and the Under 3.0 line becomes inviting.
Everton vs. Liverpool Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Everton | Draw | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 8.7% | 14.0% | 77.3% |
Projected Total Goals
| Everton | Total Goals | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | 3.09 | 2.42 |
Everton vs. Liverpool Betting Analysis
The Merseyside Derby is traditionally tightly contested, with Everton regularly causing trouble for Liverpool. In the last five matches at Anfield, only one went over the 2.5-goal line.
Moreover, the first half was usually slower. Two games were goalless at halftime and two saw just one goal.
This season also saw Liverpool off to a slower start than usual. After three games, Arne Slot’s team averages just 0.5 goals in the first half, compared to 1.05 that we saw last season.
Of the four games played in the Premier League this season, all four saw under 1.5 goals in the first half. A single goal was seen in the first two games, while the last two matches were goalless after 45 minutes.
Everton vs. Liverpool Projected Starting Lineups
Everton
Pickford; O’Brien, Keane, Tarkowski, Garner; Gueye, Iroegbunam, Ndiaye; Dewsbury-Hall, Grealish, Beto.
Liverpool
Alisson; Bradley, Van Dijk, Konaté, Kerkez; Szoboszlai, Mac Allister; Salah, Wirtz, Gakpo; Ekitiké.
