Liverpool (3-2) and Inter (4-1) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EST at Giuseppe Meazza in Milan, Italy.
Inter is favored at a +130 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-154o / +116u) goals.
Let's get into my Liverpool vs. Inter prediction.
Liverpool vs. Inter Prediction
Pick:Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals.
My Liverpool vs. Inter best bet is on both teams to score and for the match to finish with at least three total goals.
Liverpool vs. Inter Odds
| Liverpool Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -167 | 2.5 -154o / +116u | +195 |
| Inter Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 +115 | 2.5 -154o / +116u | +130 |
Liverpool vs. Inter Picks, Parlay
Leg 1:Both Teams To Score
Leg 2: Over 2.5 Goals
Inter won its first four Champions League matches, looking defensively solid in the process. However, the last round presented their toughest test yet, and they appeared more vulnerable, which is why we're banking on goals when Christian Chivu's side faces Liverpool.
Atletico Madrid beat Inter 2–1 in the Spanish capital on Matchday 5. Both teams created three big chances, and possession was evenly split. Liverpool has the attacking personnel to trouble this Inter back line, suggesting a match with plenty of goalmouth action.
This selection also cashed in Inter's last home game in the league phase. Chivu's team was the strong favorite against Kairat Almaty, yet the underdog still managed to score in a 2-1 defeat. Liverpool provides a far greater attacking threat than the Kazakh side.
Like Inter, Liverpool also fell in its most recent Champions League match, losing 4-1 to PSV. The Dutch side posted an expected goals total of 2.17, lower than Liverpool's, but was clinical in transition. Inter has the quality to punish Arne Slot's team in similar situations.
Despite their recent struggles, Liverpool remains an elite attacking unit. Slot has one of the most formidable forward lines in world football, and that individual quality should help drive the goal count upward in this matchup.
Liverpool vs. Inter Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Liverpool | Draw | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| 37.2% | 23.4% | 39.5% |
Projected Total Goals
| Liverpool | Total Goals | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | 2.94 | 1.51 |
Liverpool vs. Inter Betting Analysis
The match at San Siro is Tuesday's marquee fixture in the Champions League. After recent defeats, both Inter Milan and Liverpool enter a must-win scenario to keep control of their qualification hopes for the Round of 16.
Inter fell 2–1 to Atlético Madrid in stoppage time and currently sit fourth with 12 points. Liverpool were beaten 4–1 at home by PSV and remain thirteenth with nine points. A failure to win here could see both the Nerazzurri and the Reds overtaken by several teams in a tightly packed group.
Inter opened their campaign with four straight victories against weaker opposition but now face a brutal stretch with Arsenal and Borussia Dortmund on the horizon. That makes this home match against the champions of England even more critical. Liverpool, meanwhile, have already lost twice in Europe and still must travel to Marseille, historically one of the most difficult away trips in the competition.
Bookmakers favor Inter Milan, a side that has reached the final in two of the last three editions. According to the latest odds, Inter have roughly a 43% chance of taking all three points.
Inter are accustomed to playing on the front foot in Serie A, but they will likely need to spend long stretches defending here despite being at home. In their semifinal clashes with Barcelona last season, Inter were effective when sitting deeper and allowing the opposition to control possession before hitting on the counter. A similar approach may be required to prevent Liverpool's pacey forwards from exploiting space in behind, though that doesn't mean this will be a low-scoring match.
Liverpool's Champions League fixtures this season have averaged 3.6 goals, above the competition's unusually high average of 3.44 (excluding qualifiers). The Reds' attacking firepower, paired with their defensive frailties, sets the stage for another high-event encounter.
Arne Slot has openly acknowledged Liverpool's struggles against direct balls. His team thrives when opponents attempt to build from the back and allow them to press high. Inter, however, can bypass this entirely by playing over the press and isolating runners against Virgil van Dijk, who has looked out of sorts in recent weeks.
Everything points toward another chaotic, chance-filled Champions League night at San Siro.
