Newcastle United (4-2-1) and Paris Saint-Germain (4-2-1) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EST at Parc des Princes in Paris, France.
PSG is favored at a -190 price, with the over/under set at 3.5 (+116o / -156u) goals.
Let's get into my Newcastle vs. PSG prediction.
Newcastle vs. PSG Prediction
Pick:Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams To Score
My Newcastle vs. PSG best bet is for the game to end with three or more goals, and for both teams to find the back of the net.
Newcastle vs. PSG Odds
| Newcastle Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -175 | 3.5 +116o / -156u | +450 |
| PSG Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +120 | 3.5 +116o / -156u | -190 |
Newcastle vs. PSG Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Over 2.5 Goals
Leg 2: Both Teams To Score
With both PSG and Newcastle desperate for a victory to avoid the playoff stage, we should see an open and aggressive game. The Parisians need a win to guarantee their spot and continue the defense of their European crown. While PSG have been formidable at home, their defense has shown cracks. They have conceded in European home games this season, including a three-goal concession against Tottenham. Newcastle have enough offensive firepower to exploit those vulnerabilities and find the back of the net.
The statistics support an expectation for goals. Champions League games involving both clubs this season have exceeded the competition average of 3.05 goals per match. Furthermore, the “Both Teams to Score” wager has cashed in five of PSG’s seven European contests this season. History also points toward goals when English clubs visit Paris: matches at the Parc des Princes against Premier League opposition have averaged 3.4 goals since the 2013-14 season, with both teams scoring in 14 of those 16 games. This Newcastle vs. PSG pick is strongly backed by the data.
Newcastle vs. PSG Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Newcastle | Draw | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| 18.0% | 18.5% | 63.4% |
Projected Total Goals
| Newcastle | Total Goals | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | 3.28 | 2.19 |
Newcastle vs. PSG Betting Analysis
The context of this match is crucial. Both teams sit on 13 points, and a draw does neither side any favors, as it could open the door for another club to leapfrog them into a direct qualification spot. That scenario sets the stage for an intense battle from the opening whistle. PSG have a stellar record in final group-stage fixtures, winning six of their last seven. Their home form is also a major advantage, with victories in six of their last seven matches at the Parc des Princes across all competitions.
However, Newcastle have proven to be a difficult opponent for the French champions. The Magpies are unbeaten against PSG in their two previous Champions League meetings, including a dominant 4-1 victory at St. James’ Park and a hard-fought 1-1 draw in their last visit to Paris. Despite that history, Newcastle’s current road form is a concern. They have managed just one win in their last six away matches and have struggled in front of goal, failing to score in three of their last four games overall. This Newcastle vs. PSG prediction hinges on the clash between PSG’s home strength and Newcastle’s need to overcome poor away performances.
Check out the best soccer odds before you make your Newcastle vs PSG picks.
