Nottingham Forest (7-12-5) and Leeds United (6-10-8) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EST at Elland Road Stadium in Leeds, England.
Leeds is favored at a +120 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-105o / -135u) goals.
Let's get into my Nottingham vs. Leeds prediction.
Nottingham vs. Leeds Prediction
Pick: Leeds to Win, Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score – Yes
My Nottingham vs. Leeds best bet is on Leeds to win a game where both teams score and the total clears three goals.
Nottingham vs. Leeds Odds
| Nottingham Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -160 | 2.5 -105o / -135u | +237 |
| Leeds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 +110 | 2.5 -105o / -135u | +120 |
Nottingham vs. Leeds Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Leeds to Win
Leg 2: Over 2.5 Goals
Leg 3: Both Teams to Score – Yes
Our analysis points toward goals from both sides in this contest. While Nottingham Forest has the lowest frequency of matches where both teams score in the Premier League this season, their recent offensive improvement makes this a value opportunity. Forest’s attack has found its stride away from home, with two consecutive wins and five goals across their last three road matches. That run suggests they have enough firepower to challenge a vulnerable Leeds defense.
For the home side, Elland Road has been an offensive fortress. Leeds has scored in all but two of its home league fixtures this season. However, their defensive record tells a different story. The club has managed just one clean sheet in its last 10 home games, and only three overall in 12 matches at Elland Road. Given Leeds’ consistent ability to score at home — and their difficulty preventing opponents from doing the same — the conditions are right for both teams to contribute to the scoreline. The reverse fixture this season, a 3-1 victory for Forest, further supports the idea that both attacks can find success.
Nottingham vs. Leeds Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Nottingham | Draw | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| 32.2% | 26.0% | 41.8% |
Projected Total Goals
| Nottingham | Total Goals | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | 2.47 | 1.32 |
Nottingham vs. Leeds Betting Analysis
This match carries significant weight for both clubs, as they sit level on 26 points, just clear of the relegation battle. A victory here would be a massive step toward Premier League safety for either side.
The tactical matchup presents a fascinating contrast. Daniel Farke’s Leeds side has adopted a more direct style in the top flight, a shift that plays to the strengths of physical forward Dominic Calvert-Lewin. They will likely control more possession on home soil.
However, Sean Dyche’s Nottingham Forest is well-equipped to handle a physical contest and poses a serious threat on the counterattack. The pace and quality of players like Callum Hudson-Odoi and Morgan Gibbs-White mean Forest doesn’t need sustained possession to create high-quality chances against a Leeds team that can operate with a high defensive line.
The head-to-head history also offers insight. Forest claimed a 3-1 victory when the teams met earlier this season and has won three of the last five encounters overall. With the last two meetings producing over 2.5 goals, and given the high stakes of this match, we could see an open and entertaining affair, especially if one side falls behind and is forced to chase the game.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Nottingham Forest vs Leeds picks.
