Paraguay and France clash in Philadelphia on American Independence Day with a spot in the quarterfinals on the line (5:00 p.m. ET, FOX).
For each 2026 World Cup match, I'll list my model projections and top betting edges in the widget below. My projections simulate each game 100,000 times and use the score-grid matrix to populate all sorts of game-level betting markets.
Note that in the knockout rounds, all lines are 90-minute lines unless otherwise stated.
Additionally, I've pulled in odds from most major U.S.-based sportsbooks to find the best value for each market.
The top betting edges based on my model are listed at the top of the widget, but if you want to find a specific betting market or bet for the game, just scroll through the widget.
Here are my Paraguay vs. France predictions and World Cup projections, with my own personal bets listed below the widget.
