Paraguay and Germany are set to take center stage at Gillette Stadium on Monday, June 29 at 4:30 p.m. ET. The game, which will be broadcast live on FOX, has Germany priced as a -295 favorite, while Paraguay is +850 to pull off the upset in regulation.
The over/under is set at 2.5, but of course, all that matters is advancing. Now that the World Cup has advanced to the knockout stages, teams are simply focused on surviving and advancing in their quest for glory.
Below, you can find our Paraguay vs Germany picks for today's World Cup Round of 32 match, which include predictions for the moneyline, over/under, and player props.
Paraguay vs Germany Picks & Predictions
| Game | Time (ET) | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|
  | 4:30 p.m. | |
| 4:30 p.m. | |
| 4:30 p.m. | |
| 4:30 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our World Cup Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Paraguay vs Germany Odds
| Paraguay Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -115 | 2.5 -140o / 115u | +850 |
| Germany Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -110 | 2.5 -140o / 115u | -295 |
- Germany vs Paraguay Moneyline: Germany -295, Paraguay +850
- Paraguay vs Germany Spread: Germany -1.5, Paraguay +2.5
- Paraguay vs Germany Total: 2.5
Paraguay vs Germany Spread Prediction
By William Boor
Germany enters the knockout rounds as one of the most formidable attacking teams in the tournament. They have scored a joint-high 10 goals, a total generated from an impressive 6.76 expected goals (xG). Their ability to create high-quality chances is further demonstrated by their 22 shots on target, tied for the most in the competition. This offensive firepower will test a Paraguay defense that has shown significant weaknesses.
Paraguay has struggled at both ends of the field. Offensively, they have produced just 1.10 xG across their three group stage matches, one of the lowest marks in the tournament. Defensively, the numbers are even more concerning as they have allowed opponents a staggering 60 shots and have a 4.14 expected goals against (xGA), highlighting a susceptibility that Germany is well-equipped to exploit.
Pick: Germany -1.75 Asian Handicap (-125)
Paraguay vs Germany Prop Pick
Kai Havertz has four shots on target in three games in this World Cup, but against Paraguay, things should pick up, as Germany will have possession for most of the match.
Scoring might not be that easy, and the task could fall on several different players, but Havertz will certainly be the main target on set pieces and crosses, and he's also the team's penalty taker. A couple of shots on target is not that much to ask of him in this matchup.
Pick: Kai Havertz 2+ Shots on Goal (+115)
Paraguay vs Germany: Same-Game Parlay
By Action Network Staff
Along with France, Germany attempted a tournament-high 22 shots on target and scored 10 goals, for a 18.87% conversion rate.
Paraguay, on the other hand, is one of the lowest-scoring teams in this World Cup. They scored two goals from a 1.10 xG, which is good, but had only five attempts on target.
Considering that Germany allowed four goals from just seven shots on target against them, Paraguay will have a chance to score if they create one or two goal-scoring opportunities.
One of the favorites to win the World Cup, Germany has the quality and tactical knowledge to see off a gritty South American side. Expect Germany to score three goals and progress to the Round of 16 with ease.
Pick: Germany Win & Over 2.5 Goals (-115)
Paraguay vs Germany Over/Under Pick
I picked Germany to win and allow no goals as I don't think Paraguay will pose much of a threat in attack, so you could go with Under 0.5 goals for them at -120 or Under 2.5 goals for the match total at +112.
For value, I'd pick the latter, as Germany might end up winning by a narrow margin.
Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (+112)
