Atalanta and Paris Saint-Germain will face off today on Matchday 1 of this season's Champions League at 3:00 p.m. EDT at Parc des Princes in Paris, France.
PSG is favored at a -225 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-190o / +135u) goals.
Let's get into my Atalanta vs. PSG prediction.
Atalanta vs. PSG Prediction
Pick: PSG -1.25 Asian Handicap
My Atalanta vs. PSG best bet is on Paris Saint-Germain to win by more than one goal.
Atalanta vs. PSG Odds
| Atalanta Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -160 | 2.5 -190o / 135u | +500 |
| PSG Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +110 | 2.5 -190o / 135u | -225 |
Atalanta vs. PSG Pick
PSG -1.25 Asian Handicap (+105)
With Mateo Retegui now in Saudi Arabia and Ademola Lookman ruled out of their Champions League opener due to his off-the-field conduct, Atalanta appears weakened in their attack.
Their recent 4-1 victory over Lecce could make you think otherwise, but Lecce and PSG are, evidently, contrasting opponents.
PSG also enters the match without Ousmane Dembele, Desire Doue, and potentially Khvicha Kvaratskhelia.
Regardless of which players are missing, the reigning champions were sensational in this competition following the league phase in 2024/25.
The Parisians performed exceptionally in the latter stages. The only team to beat PSG in the knockout stages last season was Liverpool, despite the Reds registering just two shots and 0.27xG (expected goals).
Paris Saint-Germain has won all four Ligue 1 matches.
They were last seen at the weekend putting two past Lens with no reply. Bradley Barcola recorded a double and will act as a capable replacement for those missing across the forward line.
Our in-house data projection model, BETSiE, projects 2.41xG from PSG on Wednesday, as Atalanta lags with 1.05xG.
Atalanta vs. PSG Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Atalanta | Draw | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| 15.7% | 15.8% | 68.5% |
Projected Total Goals
| Atalanta | Total Goals | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 | 3.46 | 2.41 |
Atalanta vs. PSG Betting Analysis
Paris Saint-Germain prepare to host Atalanta, holding an impressive record against Italian sides with just one loss in their last 12 games (W5, D6).
The French side boasts a remarkable record of scoring in 100 consecutive UEFA competition matches, a streak that spans their last 99 Champions League appearances and the 2025 UEFA Super Cup.
The PSG vs Atalanta betting odds have the Parisians as 1.48/-208 favorites. The current odds imply a 67.6% likelihood of Luis Enrique’s side clinching a victory.
Atalanta vs. PSG Projected Starting Lineups
Atalanta
Carnesecchi; Scalvini, Hien, Djimsiti; Bellanova, De Roon, Pasalic, Zalewski; De Ketelaere, Maldini; Krstovic.
PSG
Chevalier; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes; Neves, Vitinha, Ruiz; Mbaye, Ramos, Barcola.
