Marseille and Real Madrid will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EDT at Santiago Bernabeu in Madrid, Spain.
Real Madrid is favored at a -295 price, with the over/under set at 3.5 (-102o / -135u) goals.
Let's get into my Marseille vs. Real Madrid prediction.
Marseille vs. Real Madrid Prediction
Pick: Real Madrid to Win
My Marseille vs. Real Madrid best bet is on the Spanish side to win at home.
Marseille vs. Real Madrid Odds
| Marseille Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -120 | 3.5 -102o / -135u | +650 |
| Real Madrid Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -118 | 3.5 -102o / -135u | -295 |
Marseille vs. Real Madrid Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Real Madrid to Win
Leg 2: Real Madrid -1.5
After three games at the helm of Real Madrid, manager Xabi Alonso has collected all nine points in La Liga. This time, it's a Champions League debut, and Real Madrid are once again heavy favorites to win the match.
Nevertheless, Los Blancos didn’t dominate their league games goal-wise and scored just six times. However, out of their last five matches across all competitions, four games hit the 2-4 goal range.
Last season, Real Madrid’s Champions League games also averaged 3.05 goals per game, and this selection would have won in five of their seven home matches.
While a win is expected, trends indicate Real is unlikely to go over the line by itself.
Marseille has lost its two away games this season, but both losses came by a 1-0 score.
Our projection model estimates a total of 3.77 goals for this match. Real Madrid is predicted to contribute 2.87, and Marseille 0.9 goals.
Given De Zerbi’s attacking style of football, a tight game is unlikely at the Bernabeu.
Marseille vs. Real Madrid Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Marseille | Draw | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5% | 12% | 78.5% |
Projected Total Goals
| Marseille | Total Goals | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | 3.77 | 2.87 |
Marseille vs. Real Madrid Betting Analysis
Real Madrid are formidable on home turf. Xabi Alonso has won both of his games as manager at the Santiago Bernabeu. He will want to see a strong performance from his team in their Champions League debut.
Therefore, we are backing Los Blancos to win by two goals or more as part of our Real Madrid vs Marseille predictions.
The team has racked up 35 attempts across their two home games under Alonso thus far. The new Champions League format means that it is in Real Madrid’s interest to win by as big a margin as possible.
Goal difference could be key to finishing in the top eight and avoiding the playoff stage. Moreover, 10 of Los Blancos’ last 15 home wins in this competition have come by two goals or more.
On Tuesday, the 15th-time winners face a side that has lost both of its away matches this season, 1-0.
In fact, Roberto De Zerbi’s side’s poor record on the road dates back to last season. They have just two wins in their last 10 away matches, losing seven.
During that run, they have scored an average of 0.8 goals per game, which doesn’t bode well ahead of the trip to the Bernabeu.
Marseille vs. Real Madrid Projected Starting Lineups
Marseille
De Lange; Murillo, Aguerd, Pavard, Medina; Angel, Hojberg, O’Riley, Greenwood, Traore, Gouiri.
Real Madrid
Courtois; Carvajal, Militao, Huijsen, Carreras; Valverde, Tchouameni, Guler; Diaz, Vinicius Jr., Mbappe.
