Everton hosts Sunderland in Premier League action on Sunday, May 17 with kickoff set for 10:00 AM EST at the Hill-Dickinson Stadium in England.
With both teams sitting in the middle of the table and their European qualification hopes fading, this match is about finishing the season on a high note.
Let’s get into my Sunderland vs Everton prediction.
Sunderland vs Everton Prediction
- Sunderland vs Everton Pick: Under 2.5 Goals
My Sunderland vs Everton best bet is for the match to go under 2.5 total goals.
Sunderland vs Everton Odds
| Sunderland Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -105 | 2.5 -110o / -115u | +320 |
| Everton Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -130 | 2.5 -110o / -115u | -120 |
Sunderland vs Everton Picks
Here are my top picks for the Sunderland vs Everton Premier League match.
- Under 2.5 Goals (-108 at bet365)
- 1st Half Result – Everton (+140 at bet365)
The case for a low-scoring game is compelling. Everton's matches this season have averaged 2.56 goals per game, while Sunderland's have averaged a league-low 2.31.
The league-wide average is 2.75, indicating that both of these clubs tend toward tighter contests. This isn't a recent fluke; the Under 2.5 goals bet has cashed in 20 of Everton’s 36 league matches and 21 of Sunderland’s 36 games.
Everton's first season at the Hill-Dickinson Stadium hasn't provided a significant home-field advantage, as the Toffees have won just six of their 18 league matches there. A primary issue has been a lack of offensive firepower, averaging only 1.39 goals per home game.
Sunderland compounds this trend, especially on the road, where their matches average just 2.28 goals. Their underlying metrics reveal an attack that has overperformed, with their expected goals (xG) of 36.29 ranking as the third-lowest in the Premier League. This suggests their scoring is not sustainable, and a defensive struggle is likely.
For the first-half pick, Sunderland's offensive struggles are particularly pronounced in the opening 45 minutes. They average a mere 0.33 first-half goals per game, with only one team in the league scoring less frequently.
This has led to them trailing at halftime in six of their nine Premier League away games in 2026. In contrast, Everton has been a much stronger starting team, having been behind at the break in just two of their last 11 league matches.
Sunderland vs Everton Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Everton | Draw | Sunderland |
| 52.4% | 23.7% | 23.9% |
Projected Total Goals
| Everton | Match Total | Sunderland |
| 1.62 | 2.62 | 1.00 |
Sunderland vs Everton Betting Analysis
Since David Moyes returned to Everton, he has brought much-needed stability, keeping the team safe from relegation and in the conversation for a European spot, however slim.
For Sunderland, manager Regis Le Bris has done an excellent job securing their Premier League status with weeks to spare. However, both clubs enter this match in poor form.
Everton is winless in its last five league games, while Sunderland is on a four-match winless streak.
The tactical battle will likely see Everton absorb pressure and look to strike on the counter-attack. Sunderland, meanwhile, will rely on its midfield to control possession. This dynamic often leads to a cagey affair with limited scoring opportunities.
The head-to-head record supports this, as the last two meetings between these sides this season ended in 1-1 draws in regulation. Furthermore, three of the last five encounters across all competitions have finished with under 2.5 goals.
While Everton has been undefeated against Sunderland in five straight games, recent results indicate a very even contest.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Sunderland vs Everton picks.
