Everton (3-4-2) and Sunderland AFC (5-2-2) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EST at Stadium of Light in Sunderland, England.
Everton is favored at a +160 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (+120o / -165u) goals.
Let's get into my Everton vs. Sunderland prediction.
Everton vs. Sunderland Prediction
Pick: Sunderland 0.0 Asian Handicap
My Everton vs. Sunderland best bet is on Sunderland to win and recover the stake if the match ends in a draw.
Everton vs. Sunderland Odds
| Everton Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 +145 | 2.5 120o / -165u | +160 |
| Sunderland Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -210 | 2.5 120o / -165u | +180 |
Everton vs. Sunderland Picks, Parlay
Pick: Sunderland 0.0 Asian Handicap (-111)
Sunderland has made a remarkable start to life back in the Premier League. Newly promoted teams have often struggled in recent seasons, but after nine matches, the Black Cats have already collected 17 points – five more than Southampton managed in total in 2024/25.
To put that in perspective, Leicester City (18th) were relegated in 2024/25 with 25 points from 38 matches. That’s a total Sunderland now looks likely to surpass before the end of the calendar year.
Currently sitting fourth in the table, Sunderland remain unbeaten at home after four Premier League games. They've picked up three wins and one draw, the latter coming in a 1-1 result against Aston Villa despite playing with 10 men for over an hour following a first-half red card.
With Everton coming to the Stadium of Light, there are valid questions about the current market prices. Should the visitors be the favorites? A ‘draw no bet’ approach in favor of Sunderland offers a safer angle than the win on the 1x2 market, returning stakes if the match ends level.
Everton, producing just 4.5 expected goals across five away matches, may struggle to create high-quality chances.
Backed by a strong home crowd, Sunderland could well continue its impressive run.
Everton vs. Sunderland Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Everton | Draw | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| 38.7% | 29.0% | 32.4% |
Projected Total Goals
| Everton | Total Goals | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | 2.16 | 1.04 |
Everton vs. Sunderland Betting Analysis
With 17 points from nine games, Sunderland's impressive start matches its best since the 1999-2000 season. Following back-to-back victories over Wolverhampton and Chelsea, the Black Cats aim for a third consecutive league win, something they haven’t achieved since May 2014.
On the other hand, Everton arrives after consecutive defeats to Manchester City and Tottenham, with an aggregate score of 5-0. After a positive start to the campaign, concerns over Everton's attacking threat have reemerged, with Beto and Thierno Barry netting just one league goal between them.
The Sunderland vs Everton odds have the away team as 2.55/+155 favorites, although the Black Cats will begin the game positively after a fine start to the season.
Sunderland have wrestled 17 points from Premier League opposition this season, marking its best start to a top-flight campaign since 1999/20.
However, despite not losing a game at the Stadium of Light (W3/D1) this season, Sunderland is currently an underdog on the 0.0 Asian handicap line.
There will be bettors curious about why the hosts, with home advantage, aren’t the favorites heading into Matchday 10. If this game ends as a draw, all stakes will be returned on the 0.0 Asian handicap line.
