Sunderland AFC (6-3-4) and Liverpool (7-6) will face off today at 3:15 p.m. EST at Anfield in Liverpool.
Liverpool is favored at a -284 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-176o / +140u) goals.
Let's get into my Sunderland vs. Liverpool prediction.
Sunderland vs. Liverpool Prediction
Pick: Over 2.5 Goals
My Sunderland vs. Liverpool best bet is Over 2.5 goals.
Sunderland vs. Liverpool Odds
| Sunderland Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -128 | 2.5 -176o / +140u | +700 |
| Liverpool Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -111 | 2.5 -176o / +140u | -284 |
Sunderland vs. Liverpool Pick
Pick: Over 2.5 Goals
After defeating West Ham 2-0 on Sunday, Liverpool is now aiming to win back-to-back league matches, a feat it has not achieved since September.
A victory would allow the reigning English champions to leapfrog Sunderland in the standings, with the Black Cats being the true surprise package of the Premier League.
On Saturday, the visitors beat Bournemouth 3-2, despite conceding the first two goals within the opening 15 minutes. This was the first time Sunderland had ever come back from 2 or more goals down to win a Premier League match.
It's a result that maintains the newly promoted side's unbeaten home record. Sunderland’s performance makes it the best-promoted side at this stage of a Premier League season in 20 years, since Wigan in 2005/06.
Virtually saved with 25 games to spare, Régis Le Bris's side can head to Anfield without fear, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring match.
Sunderland vs. Liverpool Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Sunderland | Draw | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 10.7% | 17.1% | 72.3% |
Projected Total Goals
| Sunderland | Total Goals | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | 2.90 | 2.23 |
Sunderland vs. Liverpool Betting Analysis
On Sunday, Liverpool ended its streak of three consecutive defeats with a 2-0 victory away at West Ham. This marked the Reds' first league win since 1 November and their first clean sheet in four matches.
However, Sunderland's comeback victory against Brentford means the newly promoted team travels to Anfield one point ahead of the reigning English champions. A scenario unimaginable just three months ago.
Although the Black Cats have collected more points at home, their away form remains positive. Régis Le Bris' side has lost only two of its last five away matches. It recently won against Chelsea and Nottingham Forest, and held Crystal Palace to a goalless draw.
With Liverpool just three points away from the fourth spot, it cannot afford another slip-up.
Despite losing four of its last six home games, bookmakers continue to place their faith in Arne Slot’s men. As such, the latest Liverpool vs Sunderland odds give the home side an implied probability of victory of over 73%.
The Liverpool vs Sunderland odds favor the home side as heavy odds-on favorites. The current bookmaker’s prices in the 1x2 market imply a 73% probability of a home win, as Sunderland arrives with just a 13% chance of victory.
Despite poor form, the hosts command a -1.5 Asian handicap. This Asian handicap requires the Reds to win by a two-goal margin or greater.
Liverpool has covered the -1.5 Asian handicap in only three of 13 matches this season. Sunderland’s two two-goal margin defeats this season have both come away from home. However, the Black Cats have raced back into the Premier League more competitively than many recently promoted clubs.
The Asian goal line in the Liverpool vs Sunderland odds is set at over/under 3.0. The 3.0 Asian goal line will return stakes to all bettors if the game ends with exactly three goals. Four goals or more are required for any ‘overs’ selection to be successful.
Nine Liverpool players have been priced shorter in the anytime goalscorer market than Sunderland’s most favored forward, Wilson Isidiro. Mohamed Salah and Alexander Isak, the latter scoring his first Premier League goal for Liverpool on the weekend, are the only players priced at odds on to find the net.
