The United States Men's National Team faces a significant test as it hosts Belgium in an international friendly on Saturday, March 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. EST at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia. This match provides a crucial opportunity for the USMNT to measure itself against top-tier European competition ahead of the World Cup.
Let’s get into my USA vs Belgium prediction.
USA vs Belgium Prediction
Pick: Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score
My prediction for this match is that we will see a high-scoring affair, with both teams finding the back of the net and the total exceeding 2.5 goals. Both squads possess potent attacks and have recently played high-scoring affairs.
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Belgium vs USA Picks
- Pick 1: Over 2.5 Goals
- Pick 2: Both Teams to Score
A compelling case for a high-scoring game can be made when analyzing both teams' recent form. Eight of the past 10 matches for the USA have seen both teams score, and seven of those contests also went over 2.5 goals. Additionally, those games were all played on home soil, indicating a trend that could continue in Atlanta.
And honestly, this isn't the same old USMNT. For years, the US was never taken seriously in big matchups. Now, under Mauricio Pochettino, with a clear game idea and a new generation stepping up, the USMNT looks like a legitimately competitive side. Not World Cup favorites — let's relax — but a team that can absolutely make noise and, at the very least, push into the knockout rounds. From there … who knows.
Pochettino's high-press system has started to generate high-quality scoring opportunities, evidenced by the team's recent 5-1 victory over Uruguay. With attackers like AC Milan's Christian Pulisic and Monaco's Folarin Balogun leading the line, the U.S. has the firepower to challenge the Belgian defense.
There are absences, though. Tyler Adams is out, and so are Diego Luna and Haji Wright, which takes away some balance and depth. Still, the core of this group (Pulisic, Balogun, Weston McKennie) is in form and very much capable of carrying the offensive load.
Belgium, meanwhile, brings its own offensive prowess. Under manager Rudi Garcia, the team has scored in nine of its past 10 games. Seven of those matches also surpassed the 2.5-goal threshold, and during their World Cup qualifying campaign, they were prolific, scoring 29 goals in just eight fixtures.
Of course, Belgium has been "that team" for years — always hyped, always loaded with talent, always expected to win … but nothing to show for it when it actually matters. And somehow, they're still sitting comfortably inside FIFA's top 10.
While their defense has been a point of concern, with occasional lapses, their attack, bolstered by Kevin De Bruyne's return, remains elite.
Belgium vs USA Betting Analysis
This matchup presents an interesting tactical battle. The USA, under Pochettino, prefers an aggressive, high-pressing style to disrupt opponents and create turnovers. However, they will face a Belgian side that is comfortable in possession, averaging 61% of the ball during their World Cup qualifying matches. The contest for control in midfield will be a key factor in the game's outcome.
Statistically, both teams have been involved in goal-laden affairs. USA's past 10 games have averaged 3.10 goals, with both teams finding the net in nine of those 10 games. Belgium has been similarly productive, averaging 3.30 goals per game under Rudi Garcia. These numbers strongly support the likelihood of an open and offensive game.
And that's really the angle here. Two teams that want to play, two teams that can score, and neither one exactly known for shutting things down defensively. This has goals written all over it.
Historically, Belgium has had the upper hand in the head-to-head series. In six all-time meetings, the USA has won only once, with Belgium claiming victory four times. Their most recent encounter was in the 2014 World Cup, when Belgium advanced with a 2-1 win in extra time.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Belgium vs USA picks.
