Who Will be Manchester United’s Next Manager?

Things are rarely calm with Manchester United. Even when they try to keep things calm, the job has a way of turning into a live audition … with each match acting like a referendum on the next decision.

And that's exactly where we are right now.

After Rúben Amorim was dismissed, the Red Devils, on January 13, 2026, appointed Michael Carrick as head coach of the men's first team until the end of the 2025-26 season. Since then, the vibe around Old Trafford has shifted, and so have the Kalshi's odds.

Kalshi, a prediction market, is available in most states and has a market available for traders to predict Manchester United's next manager. Kalshi also offers a variety of other unique markets, and if you want to get in on the action yourself, use our Kalshi promo code to get started.

Who Will Be Manchester United's Next Manager?

Michael Carrick

Kalshi has Carrick listed first for a reason — he's already in the chair.

Manchester United didn't frame his appointment as a one-week bandage. He is going to be the head coach until the end of the season, and is supported by a staff that includes Steve Holland, Jonathan Woodgate, Travis Binnion, Jonny Evans, and Craig Mawson. Jason Wilcox (director of football) put public weight behind Carrick, calling him "an excellent coach" who "knows exactly what it takes to win at Manchester United."

However, Carrick's own messaging has been measured. In his first couple of weeks, he didn't bite when asked whether he wanted the job permanently. He repeatedly framed it as doing the job in front of him to help keep everyone grounded.

But here's the thing — markets don't trade on humility, and the most likely outcome, if you're trying to price this rationally, is:

• The interim stabilizes the team.
• The club likes the direction.
• The "temporary" decision quietly becomes permanent.

Carrick's case has also been helped by the on-field play, which includes moving away from Amorim's 3-4-3, and returning to a back four, restoring Kobbie Mainoo, and pushing Bruno Fernandes higher.

Of course, there's also a loud counterweight to the Carrick momentum. Roy Keane and Gary Neville have publicly leaned into the idea that United should hand the baton to someone "world-class" in the summer. That skepticism is part of why we still see other names in the mix.

Oliver Glasner

Glasner is priced second at Kalshi, but let's emphasize a key detail — he's very far behind Carrick.

That gap tells us how the market views Glasner. He is the main "pivot" if United decides it can't be talked into another interim-to-permanent storyline.

The current Crystal Palace manager has been connected to this conversation, and Carrick was even asked whether facing a "potential rival" would motivate him. Of course, he basically brushed it off, giving his respect to Palace, and keeping his focus on United.

Manchester United's Next Manager: Market Analysis

If you're using Kalshi as a temperature check to determine the most likely resolution, it's clear this market is leaning toward Carrick.

The Red Devils have been burned by interims before (everyone remembers how quickly "this is working" turns into "this is complicated"). That history is why there's still oxygen for Glasner.

However, right now, Kalshi is telling us to expect the most straightforward resolution. Glasner is the contingency. And unless something dramatically changes, that hierarchy makes sense.

"Interim until the end of the season" has a funny habit of becoming "we didn’t want to overthink it."

What is Kalshi?

Different than a traditional sportsbook and available in most states, Kalshi allows users to make predictions across several unique markets, including sports, entertainment, elections and even weather.

Kalshi operates on a contract-based system where users buy "contracts" (priced between 1–99 cents) based on whether they believe a specific event will happen. The price of each contract fluctuates in real time based on market sentiment and like the stock market, traders can sell positions early to lock in profits (or minimize losses).