The World Cup Round of 16 gets underway on Saturday with two marquee matchups: Canada vs. Morocco and Paraguay vs. France.
Our team of experts has a pick for each match, so let's dive into today's World Cup best bets.
Today's World Cup Best Bets, Expert Picks
The team logos in the table below represent each of the World Cup matchups that our staff is targeting from today's slate. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 1:00 p.m. | |
  | 5:00 p.m. | |
| 5:00 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our World Cup odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Canada vs Morocco Best Bet
Both teams have been impressive on offense during the 2026 tournament, posting strong numbers in expected goals (xG) and total shots. Canada, widely regarded as fielding its golden generation, has nothing to lose as the underdog and will likely push forward to challenge a formidable Moroccan defense. This aggressive approach should create scoring opportunities.
Morocco has managed just one clean sheet in its four matches, with only a passive Scotland team failing to score against them. They even conceded two goals to Haiti in their final group stage game. This defensive vulnerability, combined with Canada's offensive prowess, strengthens the case for both teams scoring.
While Canada's path may have been somewhat favorable, their attacking statistics are undeniable. Their expected goals figure of 8.87 ranks third in the entire competition. Only global powerhouses Brazil and France have generated a higher xG per 90 minutes than Canada's 2.22. Even in their group stage defeat to Switzerland, the Canadians were statistically superior, creating more high-quality chances and registering seven shots on target. This ability to generate offense against quality opposition adds significant value to this pick.
Pick: Both Teams To Score – Yes (+110, bet365)
France vs Paraguay Best Bet
France enters this knockout stage as the most efficient attacking team in the competition, and their star players are performing at an elite level. Kylian Mbappé has already scored six goals, while Ousmane Dembélé has four and Michael Olise has delivered five assists. This offensive firepower makes Les Bleus one of the most dangerous sides remaining.
The bet for France to win both halves has been a winning selection in three of their four matches in the 2026 tournament. The underlying metrics support this trend, with no team taking more shots on target than France's 34. Their incredible conversion rate of 17.81% suggests they can capitalize on their chances early and often.
Pick: France To Win Both Halves (+125, bet365)
France vs Paraguay Best Bet
Paraguay's defensive approach was exposed in their opening 4-1 loss to the USA. While they managed to hold off Germany, France presents a completely different challenge. Paraguay has faced 81 shots so far, the most in the tournament, and they will struggle to contain a French team that is relentless in attack.
Furthermore, France's tendency to score after the break is a key factor. Eight of their 13 goals have come in the second half. Against a Paraguayan side that will likely tire from absorbing constant pressure, France's ability to maintain intensity makes a win-to-nil combined with a second-half goal a valuable consideration.
Pick: France To Win To Nil & France To Score in the Second Half (-150, bet365)
