PGA Championship Prop Picks: Top Finishes, Missed Cuts, More
Stan Badz/PGA TOUR via Getty Images. Pictured: Tony Finau
- Looking for the best PGA Championship prop picks? Our staff has you covered.
- Top-20 finishes. Missed cuts. The top Australian player. Find their four favorite prop bets below.
Golf props only look more enticing when you have a deep field like the one assembled for this weekend’s PGA Championship.
To help you sort through the madness, our staff compiled their favorite props, featuring two top 20’s, one missed cut and a play on the top Australian.
Jason Day: Top Australian Player (+135)
While everyone has focused on Brooks Koepka suddenly regaining his form before a major, Day has done so in relative quiet, finishing seventh-or-better in each of his last three starts.
His main competition in this prop comes from Adam Scott, who hasn’t played competitively in five months, and Marc Leishman, who hasn’t finished better than 40th in five appearances since the restart.
I wouldn’t expect much from Cameron Smith, Matt Jones or Lucas Herbert, so this feels like a smash play at plus-money.
Tony Finau Top 20, +188 (DraftKings)
As long as Finau is plus money in majors to top 20, I’ll bet it each time. He’s finished there in eight of his 15 career starts.
The setups tend to emphasize his strengths and cater to bombers. I wish he had played a little better at the WGC, but that course doesn’t really fit him. I don’t think he’ll win, but I could easily see him cruise to a T13 on a course where the bomb and gouge philosophy is expected to have the advantage.
Webb Simpson to Miss Cut, +270 (DraftKings)
Reading Sobel’s ranking of the PGA Championship field revealed a huge note for Simpson. The last time caddie Paul Tesori was not on the bag for Simpson was way back in 2013. The unfamiliarity of a new caddie along with course fit may be problematic.
Simpson ranks just 106th in driving distance, with a SG Off the Tee rank of 86th. Not only is the course not suited to Simpson’s game, he will not have a partner on the course he can trust in club selection and putting advice.
Harris English Top 20, +400 (PointsBet)
English had a brief scare with COVID-19 and is clear of not just the illness, but also the sequestered-grouping per the TOUR protocol, which he described as isolating.
Even with the unfavorable playing conditions, English has recorded two top 20s and a 13th at Memorial, which played extremely difficult.
Only a handful of guys have been hitting it better than English this season. Dating back to Wyndham last season, English is seventh in SG: Total and 14th in SG: Tee-to-Green.