2021 Palmetto Championship Odds & Prop Bets: 4 PGA Picks For Congaree
Matthew Stockman/Getty Images. Pictured: Patton Kizzire.
- A first-round angle. The top American. And two top finishes.
- Find our PGA betting analysts' four favorite props for the 2021 Palmetto Championship below.
There’s just one tournament between now and the 2021 U.S. Open, and it is the inaugural Palmetto Championship at Congaree Golf Club in South Carolina.
This event takes the place of the Canadian Open on the schedule, which couldn’t be held because of COVID-19 travel restrictions to the Great White North.
With no course history to use and a major championship looming, it’s anybody’s guess how this week plays out. Oh, the joys of betting of golf.
Here are our favorite prop bets for the Palmetto Championship.
Palmetto Championship Odds & Picks
|Chris Murphy||Patton Kizzire Top 5 After R1 +900|
|Matt Vincenzi||Joseph Bramlett Top 10 +900|
|Landon Silinsky||Lucas Glover Top American +1600|
|Bryan Berryman||Hank Lebioda Top 20 +490|
Patton Kizzire Top 5 After Round 1 +900 at BetMGM
Let’s get a little weird on an off week and look at the first-round market. BetMGM has been offering some top-5 odds for the first day, and the great thing that makes them different is that they pay all ties in full.
Kizzire is the best player in this field this season in First-Round Scoring Average, and while he is a player I like throughout the event, he really sticks out in this market. We get a nice +900 number on him, and he gets a preferred Thursday morning tee time. Also, Kizzire is one of the best bermudagrass putters on TOUR which gives him the capability to go low in any given round.
I have a hunch that Kizzire, as a nearby Sea Island resident, may have seen this course before, which will give him a leg up when the tournament starts. I’m buying Patton to make a quick bounce back off of his missed cut at the Memorial and to get off to a fast start this week at Congaree.
Joseph Bramlett Top 10 +900 at FanDuel
Bramlett is a golfer who fits the profile of the type of golfer I am looking for this week. He is extremely long off of the tee, ranking eighth in the field in driving distance. With some mammoth par 4s on the course, it will be a major advantage to be able to get the ball out there at Congaree.
While not a great putter, Bramlett is very good around the green, gaining close to one stroke per round on the field in his past five events. He missed the cut in his most recent event but had his best TOUR start to date in his prior tournament, finishing seventh at the Byron Nelson.
Lucas Glover Top American +1600 at DraftKings
There’s a bunch of Europeans who I think can take this thing down this week, especially up top with both Tyrrell Hatton and Matthew Fitzpatrick, but they’re way too short to bet outright. We can hedge here by taking Glover as the top American this week. He is a member at Congaree, which should be very helpful since only a handful of guys in this field have ever seen the course before.
We’re banking here that Glover outlasts the big four of Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Harris English and Harold Varner III, which I think is a very attainable goal, especially when you consider how he’s been playing of late. Glover has made the cut in nine of his past 10 starts with two top-10 finishes at Colonial and at the Valero in that stretch.
Hank Lebioda Top 20 +490 at FanDuel
I had to dig a little for this one, but I really like what the recent stats are showing for Lebioda.
He has made his last three cuts, two of which ended in top-20 finishes on difficult golf courses with difficult fields. He gained nearly 10 strokes on approach over those three events, while also gaining strokes on and around the greens.
Lebioda now gets a chance to ride this momentum into a weaker field, in which he’s still priced at nearly 5/1 to crack the top 20. I’m willing to ride the recent hot stretch here and hope it’s not a flash in the pan from a historically inconsistent golfer.