2021 Palmetto Championship Odds & Picks: 6 Outright PGA Bets At Congaree
Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images. Pictured: Harris English
- Brandt Snedeker. Harold Varner III. Keith Mitchell. Ian Poulter.
- Those are four of our staff's six favorite outright bets to win the 2021 Palmetto Championship.
- Find their odds and all our analysts' betting picks outlined below.
There’s just one tournament between now and the 2021 U.S. Open, and it is the inaugural Palmetto Championship at Congaree Golf Club in South Carolina.
This event takes the place of the Canadian Open on the schedule, which couldn’t be held because of COVID travel restrictions to the Great White North.
With no course history to use and a major championship looming, it’s anybody’s guess how this week plays out. Oh, the joys of betting of golf.
Here are our favorite outright bets for the Palmetto Championship.
Palmetto Championship Odds & Picks
|Jason Sobel||Brandt Snedeker +5500|
|Josh Perry||Harold Varner III +4000|
|Chris Murphy||Keith Mitchell +4500|
|Matt Vincenzi||Ian Poulter +3500|
|Landon Silinsky||Luke List +7500|
|Bryan Berryman||Harris English +3000|
Brandt Snedeker +5500 at DraftKings
It’s been almost three full years since Snedeker’s most recent of nine career PGA TOUR titles, and he’s rarely found himself in serious contention since then. So, why here?
First off, there’s some form. He’s finished 17th-or-better in three of his last five starts. Secondly, he’s often played some of his best golf in the Southeast region, winning three of those nine titles here. And lastly, he tends to play well in tough conditions, when grinding out pars isn’t such a bad thing.
There’s little doubt that his best golf is likely behind him — at 40 and with a game that doesn’t match the power of so many other players, it’s difficult to envision Snedeker moving into elite territory once again. But I also believe he’s very much still capable of winning, especially against a field that doesn’t boast many of those big-hitting stars.
Harold Varner +4000 at FanDuel
There really isn’t much that catches my eye this week, but I started my card with Varner at +5000. He’s the type of guy who can do everything well, but it’s never lined up for him all in the same week.
Over the past four months, he’s had events in which he’s gained at least four strokes off the tee, on approach, around the greens and with the putter. It’s really just a matter of time before things all click for him in the same week.
The North Carolina native should be relatively comfortable in the state’s southern neighbor. He was second his last start there at Harbour Town.
Keith Mitchell +4500 at DraftKings
Mitchell was my first click this week as he’s always a consideration on bermudagrass courses. He also fits the bill as the 7,655-yard Par 71 layout of Congaree Golf Club will favor the longer hitters to some extent, even if it does play firm and fast as intended.
Mitchell has shown time and again that he can contend around difficult tracks and with the best in the world — he did it for his first TOUR win at the 2019 Honda Classic then in his battle after which he finished third to Rory McIlroy at this year’s Wells Fargo Championship. This week’s field is not in the same stratosphere of those two events, but the large layout and Champion Bermuda is in the same mold at Congaree as it was at Quail Hollow.
As one of the Sea Island guys, I wouldn’t be surprised if Mitchell has some experience on this course, and his skillset is right in line with what should fit this track.
All of these factors combine to make the Georgia Bulldog my top play for the Palmetto Championship.
Ian Poulter +3700 at FanDuel
Poulter is heading to Congaree in excellent form, coming off back-to-back solid performances. The Englishman finished 30th at a difficult PGA Championship and followed it up with a third-place finish at the Charles Schwab Challenge. He gained an impressive 3.9 strokes on approach and 6.3 strokes tee-to-green at Colonial.
Poults has the excellent around-the-green game to compete at what may be a difficult course to get up and down at with steep run-off areas and firm and fast greens. He ranks eighth in the field in his past eight rounds and seventh in putting, with bermudagrass being his preferred putting surface.
In addition to the excellent form, Poulter is highly motivated to notch a win and make a strong case to join the European team in the Ryder Cup at Whistling Straits.
In a week full of uncertainty, my headline bet is a fiery competitor who is certain to fight for my money at Congaree.
Luke List +7500 at FanDuel
List is one of the few guys playing this week who has experience at Congaree, as according to Golf Digest, he holds the course record here. Obviously that did not come against other PGA TOUR golfers, but with everyone essentially flying blind this week, it’s nice that he knows his way around.
Congaree boasts wide open fairways and minimal rough, which is right up List’s alley, as he should be able to use his distance to his advantage and won’t be penalized for propensity to spray it off the tee.
List is one of the best ball-strikers in this field, ranking No. 3 in SG: Off-the-Tee and 22nd on approach over his past 48 rounds. His putter is what consistently holds him back from contending most weeks, however he does putt better on bermuda compared to other surfaces. Tom Fazio designed this course as he did Corales Golf Course, where List posted a T-8 last September.
The top of the board does not offer much value this week, so getting a premier ball-striker at 75-1 in this weak of a field is a really strong bet.
Harris English +3000 at FanDuel
Much has been made about the weakness of this field, and for good reason — it really is brutal. However, weeks like this are a great opportunity to buy low on talented golfers who won’t have to wade through dozens of the top players in the world to find their way to the top of the leaderboard come Sunday.
This sets up for one of those spots for English, who has struggled since his victory at the Tournament of Champions back in January. With the reports coming out that this course will be playing firm and fast, holding the elevated greens on approach shots will be challenging. A ton of greens are going to be missed if the reports hold true, so I’ll be looking for players who have strong around-the-green and putting statistics.
Over the course of his career, English has proven he is a tremendous short-game player. Recently, that skillset has been on display gaining 11.4 strokes on and around the putting surfaces over his last three events. Combine that with the recent ball-striking performance at the PGA Championship in which he gained 2.3 strokes on approach, I believe he is primed for a breakout performance.