2021 Palmetto Championship Sleeper Picks & Predictions: 5 Longshot Bets For This Week’s PGA Event at Congaree
Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images. Pictured: Tyler McCumber
- Looking for longshot bets to win the 2021 Palmetto Championship? We've got you covered.
- Our PGA betting analysts identified six players with odds of +7500 or longer offering potential value.
- Find their odds and picks ahead of Thursday's inaugural event below.
There’s just one tournament between now and the 2021 U.S. Open, and it is the inaugural Palmetto Championship at Congaree Golf Club in South Carolina.
This event takes the place of the Canadian Open on the schedule, which couldn’t be held because of COVID travel restrictions to the Great White North.
With no course history to use and a major championship looming, it’s anybody’s guess how this week plays out. While that makes this a challenging tournament to handicap, it also leaves the door open for a winner to come out of nowhere.
With that in mind, here are our favorite longshot bets for the Palmetto Championship.
Palmetto Championship Odds & Picks
|Jason Sobel||Rafa Cabrera-Bello +8500|
|Josh Perry||Hank Lebioda +14000|
|Chris Murphy||Doc Redman +7500|
|Matt Vincenzi||Satoshi Kodaira +16000|
|Landon Silinsky||Tyler McCumber +20000|
|Bryan Berryman||Vincent Whaley +8500|
Rafa Cabrera-Bello +8500 at DraftKings
RCB is exactly the type of player I like targeting in certain situations.
He’s a world-class talent, having ranked as high as 16th at one point, who hasn’t been playing anything close to world-class golf. There have been, however, some signs of improvement recently — though not enough to drop his price to a point where he’s tough to play.
This is the same theory that has me bullish on the likes of Justin Rose and Rickie Fowler moving forward, only on a smaller scale. I like that improvement to continue for him this week.
Hank Lebioda +14000 at DraftKings
Lebioda has gained over 10 strokes on his approach shots over the past two events combined, so the iron game appears to be in a good spot. When he’s got the putter going with that iron play, it’s led to a couple of top 20s over his last three starts.
Doc Redman +7500 at DraftKings
If there were ever a week for a young talent to break through, it’s in a field like this one. Redman fits the mold of a player who has been on the cusp of that inaugural TOUR win, but has yet to get it done.
The Clemson grad comes into the week off three straight made cuts, including a top-10 finish at the Byron Nelson a few weeks back. He seems to have found something with his biggest weakness, the putter, over the past several weeks as he has gained 1.9 strokes or more on the greens in four straight tournaments.
I expect the 2017 U.S. Amateur Champion to feel at home back on the bermudagrass of Congaree Golf Club. I like him to be able to contend throughout the weekend if he can get his normally sharp ball striking to match up with the putting stroke he’s found over the past several weeks. This is the type of event where he can make the next big step in his career and we look back to wonder how he was at these odds in a weak field like this.
Satoshi Kodaira +16000 at DraftKings
Kodaira is historically an absolute wildcard from week-to-week. However, he has been somewhat consistent of late with his past two finishes being an 11th at Wells Fargo and a 13th at the Byron Nelson.
A previous winner on the TOUR, the Tokyo native has what it takes to claim the trophy in a weak field if he finds himself in contention on Sunday. His most recent strong finishes have been powered by a very hot putter, gaining 6.5 and 4.2 strokes in his past two starts, respectively.
He has also been quite solid from tee-to-green in which he has gained strokes in his past four events. If Kodaira can continue his steady play and put together another great putting week, he has a shot to win a tournament that is completely up for grabs.
Tyler McCumber +20000 at FanDuel
McCumber can absolutely send it off the tee, ranking 16th on the PGA TOUR in driving distance this season. That will definitely come in handy this week as Congaree is set to play at over 7,600 yards.
Going back to Corales again, which also measures at well over 7,600 yards, McCumber finished T-18 and T-2 in his last two trips to the Fazio design.
He’s been playing some strong golf of late as well, ranking 12th in SG: Approach, 11th in SG: Tee-to-Green and seventh in SG: Ball-Striking all over his past 16 rounds in this field. I like taking chances on some big hitters this week with the wide open fairways.
McCumber is as long as they come, and I’ll gladly take my chances at 200-1.
Vincent Whaley +8500 at FanDuel
As a relatively new face out on tour, Whaley has put together a very impressive run of late. He’s rattled off four top-30 finishes in a row that have all come in pretty stacked fields.
During this impressive stretch of play, he’s gained 4.6 strokes putting and 8 strokes around the green. This skillset will be very valuable this week, as I predict a lot of missed greens given the firm and fast nature of this golf course.
With the field strength lowered, and the hot stretch of play showing no signs of slowing down, Whaley deserves a dart throw this week. I recommend pairing this bet with a top 5 or top 10 bet as well, as you never know how a young gun like Whaley will handle the pressure if he finds himself in contention come Sunday.