2022 BMW Championship Odds, Sleeper Picks: 4 Longshot Bets, Including Sahith Theegala & Brendan Steele

2022 BMW Championship Odds, Sleeper Picks: 4 Longshot Bets, Including Sahith Theegala & Brendan Steele article feature image

Stacy Revere/Getty Images. Pictured: Sahith Theegala.

Click arrow to expand 2022 BMW Championship odds via WynnBET

2022 BMW Championship Odds

Rory McIlroy+900
Jon Rahm+1200
Patrick Cantlay+1200
Justin Thomas+1400
Matt Fitzpatrick+1400
Scottie Scheffler+1400
Tony Finau+1400
Will Zalatoris+1400
Collin Morikawa+1800
Xander Schauffele+1800
Sam Burns+2200
Sungjae Im+2500
Viktor Hovland+2500
Cameron Young+2800
Joohyung Kim+3300
Shane Lowry+3300
Joaquin Niemann+3500
Jordan Spieth+3500
Hideki Matsuyama+4500
Max Homa+4500
Corey Conners+5000
Tyrrell Hatton+5000
Aaron Wise+5500
Adam Scott+5500
Billy Horschel+5500
Russell Henley+6000
Cam Davis+6600
Davis Riley+6600
Brian Harman+7000
Keith Mitchell+7000
Taylor Pendrith+8000
Harold Varner III+9000
Keegan Bradley+9000
Mito Pereira+9000
Sahith Theegala+9000
Seamus Power+9000
Maverick McNealy+10000
Si Woo Kim+10000
Alex Noren+11000
Denny McCarthy+11000
J.T. Poston+11000
Kevin Kisner+11000
Chris Kirk+12500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+12500
Emiliano Grillo+12500
K.H. Lee+12500
Lucas Glover+12500
Scott Stallings+12500
Sebastian Munoz+12500
Sepp Straka+12500
Adam Hadwin+15000
Brendan Steele+15000
Marc Leishman+15000
Tom Hoge+15000
Trey Mullinax+15000
Troy Merritt+15000
Wyndham Clark+15000
Cameron Tringale+17500
Taylor Moore+17500
Alex Smalley+20000
Andrew Putnam+20000
Chez Reavie+20000
J.J. Spaun+20000
Kurt Kitayama+20000
Lucas Herbert+20000
Luke List+20000
Matt Kuchar+20000
Mackenzie Hughes+27500

Despite the presence of the PGA TOUR’s biggest names in the field and the pressure of the playoffs, underdogs nearly had their day in Memphis last week.

Will Zalatoris ultimately secured the trophy and the oodles of FedEx Cup points at stake, but he was surrounded by a series of sleepers on the leaderboard late on Sunday.

With the field cut to just 70 this week, the chances of a dark horse emerging seem less likely. For example, DraftKings has nine golfers priced at +1400 or lower at the top of their board — far more than we’d typically see with a regular field size.

No matter your sportsbook, this is not the week for deep sleepers. With only 70 players teeing it up, it’s tough to even find many players offered at odds higher than +20000.

With the BMW Championship visiting a new venue, Wilmington Country Club in Delaware, it's conceivable that someone further down the board takes to this course and vaults up the season-long points race.

The following group looks poised to do so.

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Trey Mullinax +15000 (DraftKings)

I tabbed Mullinax as a sleeper to watch last week in this space, and he delivered with a top-five finish. There are plenty of reasons for us to go back to the well on this one.

First, Mullinax is playing really well right now. He won the Barbasol Championship in early July, finished T21 at the Open Championship at the Old Course and now rides a streak of four made cuts after his big week at the FedEx St. Jude Championship last weekend.

Best of all, this course appears set to reward the bombers.

Patrick Cantlay on Wilmington CC:

"This golf course is definitely just like last year, extremely distance biased. You've got to hit it as far as you can and hit a lot of fairways." He later added, "I don't think there's too much strategy to this golf course."

— Patrick McDonald (@AmateurStatus) August 16, 2022

Mullinax ranks ninth on TOUR this season in driving distance but just 40th among players in this week’s field in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee over the last six months.

He’ll be happy to use his length without too much reason to worry about his ball off the tee.

Taylor Pendrith +9000 (DraftKings)

Forgive me for sounding like a broken record, but I also picked Pendrith last week. He played well enough early to make the cut before a cold putter doomed him; Pendrith ranked last in the field in putting Saturday and in the bottom 15 Sunday.

That said, he’s simply playing too well of late to ignore at this number.

He missed a large swath of time due to injury this season, yet hasn’t missed a cut since coming back in July. In fact, last week was his first finish outside the top 15 of a tournament since returning, ending a run of four straight strong tournaments.

Ranking 11th in driving distance this season, Pendrith should also be able to bully this course a bit. Over the last three months — essentially his entire time back from the injury — he’s been a top-10 driver of the golf ball by strokes gained, per Data Golf.

Brendan Steele +15000 (BetMGM)

Speaking of strokes gained data over the last three months, care to guess who the best iron player in the world has been over that span?

How about Brendan Steele?

In six events since mid-May, Steele has been absolutely dialed in on his approach shots. He’s gained strokes on the field in 5-of-6 events, peaking with nearly two full shots at the PGA Championship.

When his putter behaves, Steele has converted that swing success into strong finishes. He’s been T30 or better in four of his last six events and in seven of his last 11 starts.

Sahith Theegala +9000 (DraftKings)

This last shot is more of a hunch than something backed up by stats. Few golfers on TOUR this season have made more runs at a win without collecting one than Theegala.

He has five finishes of T8 or better and had real, tangible chances at a victory at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and the Travelers Championship.

Theegala has missed just one cut in an individual event since April.

He continues to give himself chances to compete. Under the bright lights of the FedEx Cup Playoffs, I wouldn’t be surprised to see things click into place for Theegala, earning him that elusive first win.

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