2022 BMW Championship Odds, Sleeper Picks: 4 Longshot Bets, Including Sahith Theegala & Brendan Steele
Stacy Revere/Getty Images. Pictured: Sahith Theegala.
Click arrow to expand 2022 BMW Championship odds via WynnBET
2022 BMW Championship Odds
|Harold Varner III||+9000|
|Si Woo Kim||+10000|
Despite the presence of the PGA TOUR’s biggest names in the field and the pressure of the playoffs, underdogs nearly had their day in Memphis last week.
Will Zalatoris ultimately secured the trophy and the oodles of FedEx Cup points at stake, but he was surrounded by a series of sleepers on the leaderboard late on Sunday.
With the field cut to just 70 this week, the chances of a dark horse emerging seem less likely. For example, DraftKings has nine golfers priced at +1400 or lower at the top of their board — far more than we’d typically see with a regular field size.
No matter your sportsbook, this is not the week for deep sleepers. With only 70 players teeing it up, it’s tough to even find many players offered at odds higher than +20000.
With the BMW Championship visiting a new venue, Wilmington Country Club in Delaware, it’s conceivable that someone further down the board takes to this course and vaults up the season-long points race.
The following group looks poised to do so.
Trey Mullinax +15000 (DraftKings)
I tabbed Mullinax as a sleeper to watch last week in this space, and he delivered with a top-five finish. There are plenty of reasons for us to go back to the well on this one.
First, Mullinax is playing really well right now. He won the Barbasol Championship in early July, finished T21 at the Open Championship at the Old Course and now rides a streak of four made cuts after his big week at the FedEx St. Jude Championship last weekend.
Best of all, this course appears set to reward the bombers.
Patrick Cantlay on Wilmington CC:
"This golf course is definitely just like last year, extremely distance biased. You've got to hit it as far as you can and hit a lot of fairways." He later added, "I don't think there's too much strategy to this golf course."
— Patrick McDonald (@AmateurStatus) August 16, 2022
Mullinax ranks ninth on TOUR this season in driving distance but just 40th among players in this week’s field in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee over the last six months.
He’ll be happy to use his length without too much reason to worry about his ball off the tee.
Taylor Pendrith +9000 (DraftKings)
Forgive me for sounding like a broken record, but I also picked Pendrith last week. He played well enough early to make the cut before a cold putter doomed him; Pendrith ranked last in the field in putting Saturday and in the bottom 15 Sunday.
That said, he’s simply playing too well of late to ignore at this number.
He missed a large swath of time due to injury this season, yet hasn’t missed a cut since coming back in July. In fact, last week was his first finish outside the top 15 of a tournament since returning, ending a run of four straight strong tournaments.
Ranking 11th in driving distance this season, Pendrith should also be able to bully this course a bit. Over the last three months — essentially his entire time back from the injury — he’s been a top-10 driver of the golf ball by strokes gained, per Data Golf.
Brendan Steele +15000 (BetMGM)
Speaking of strokes gained data over the last three months, care to guess who the best iron player in the world has been over that span?
How about Brendan Steele?
In six events since mid-May, Steele has been absolutely dialed in on his approach shots. He’s gained strokes on the field in 5-of-6 events, peaking with nearly two full shots at the PGA Championship.
When his putter behaves, Steele has converted that swing success into strong finishes. He’s been T30 or better in four of his last six events and in seven of his last 11 starts.
Sahith Theegala +9000 (DraftKings)
This last shot is more of a hunch than something backed up by stats. Few golfers on TOUR this season have made more runs at a win without collecting one than Theegala.
He has five finishes of T8 or better and had real, tangible chances at a victory at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and the Travelers Championship.
Theegala has missed just one cut in an individual event since April.
He continues to give himself chances to compete. Under the bright lights of the FedEx Cup Playoffs, I wouldn’t be surprised to see things click into place for Theegala, earning him that elusive first win.
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