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2018 British Open: Alex Noren Is an Intriguing DFS Pivot in GPPs

Jul 12, 2018 11:50 AM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Alex Noren’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $8,300 DraftKings, $9,800 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): WD, N/A, N/A, T-46, T-6

Odds: +3000 to win, +275 top-10 finish, +135 top-20 finish, -400 to make cut, +275 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +275 top-10 finish

Best Matchup Value: Noren (-115) over Tiger Woods (Sportsbook.ag)

Tee Times: 8:04 a.m. ET (Thursday), 3:03 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

Noren is in great form currently, coming off a victory at the Open de France in his last tournament. He’s used to links courses, and he’s shown upside at the British, finishing T-6 in last year’s event. He’s been quite accurate of late outside of a windy U.S. Open, and he has the style of game to play well at Carnoustie.

I’d be interested in his top-25 odds, and he’s an interesting GPP pivot in DFS given his $8,300 price tag on DraftKings is right next to that of Henrik Stenson, who should be one of the most popular plays of the week.


The Metrics

Here’s how Noren ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-29th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: 7th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 22nd
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-72nd
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 12th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-76th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Alex Noren

Follow Bryan Mears on Twitter
@bryan_mears

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