Brooks Koepka Is a Safe Top-20 Bet at PGA Championship

Aug 07, 2018 3:52 PM EDT

For betting odds and analysis of the top 80 golfers in the 2018 PGA Championship field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Brooks Koepka PGA Championship Betting Odds

DFS Pricing: $9,600 DraftKings, $11,600 FanDuel

PGA Championship History (2013-2017): T-70, T-15, T-5, T-4, T-13

Odds: +2000 to win, +220 top-10 finish, -110 top-20 finish, -700 to make cut, +400 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -700 to make cut

Best Matchup Value (Sportsbook): Koepka (+100) over Rory McIlroy (-130)

Tee Times: 2:15 p.m. ET (Thursday); 8:50 a.m. ET (Friday)


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The Outlook

Koepka LOVES majors. Throughout his career, he’s made 17 of 19 cuts, including 12 top-25 finishes and seven top 10s.

He’s one of the best birdie makers on tour, averaging 16 per tournament over the past 75 weeks — the third-best mark in the field. Given where his game is right now and his success at these tournaments, a Koepka top-20 finish bet sounds great to me.


The Metrics

Here’s how Koepka ranks in the PGA Championship field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

    • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-7th
    • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-65th
    • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 41st
    • Long-Term Driving Distance: 8th
    • Strokes Gained: Approach: 77th

Want more PGA Championship coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 80 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Brooks Koepka

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@justinbailey32

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