Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - July 7, 2024

Blue Jays at Mariners

8:10 pm • ROOT Sports NW

Toronto Blue Jays

4-7

5 - 4

Seattle Mariners

4-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Kirby			3.53	14-11
J.Berrios			3.60	16-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 4-7	+1.5-175	o7.5-108	+124
Mariners 4-8	-1.5+145	u7.5-112	-148

Sunday 8:10 p.m.

July 07, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

J.Berrios o7.5 Ks+420

1.05u

J.Berrios o6.5 Ks+215

0.54u

J.Berrios o5.5 Ks+100

SEA -110 (Live)

0.5u

TOR +148 (Live)

1.85u

G.Kirby o5.5 Ks+104

2.08u

Under 7.5-112

2.24u

SEA -148

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-132

L.Raley u0.5 Hits+123

0.5u

G.Kirby u5.5 Ks-120

SEA -132 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -138

Featured Insight
Blue Jays have a strikeout rate of 24% vs left-handed batters since last season -- fifth highest in MLB. Mariners left-handed hitters have struck out 27% against RHP since last season -- highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mariners hitters have a hard-hit rate of 43% this season -- second best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 42% against the Blue Jays this season -- second worst in MLB.

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MLB NRFI Model Predictions for Sunday
Billy Ward•
Jul 7, 2024 UTC

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The Blue Jays are just 5-12 (.294) after a road win this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.

Bo Bichette is batting just .250 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for 13th worst in MLB-- 12th Percentile. George Kirby has a strike rate of 68% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for eighth highest among qualified SPs-- 90th Percentile.

28% of Justin Turner strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 65% of George Kirby's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since the 2022 season -- highest among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .355 (22-for-62) against Jose Berrios' elevated fastball this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 -- first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (66/359) against Jose Berrios this season -- 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- fifth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 1-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Mariners' 7 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	4-8	3-4	1-4	3-6	1-2
Blue Jays	2-9	2-6	0-3	2-7	0-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	5-7	4-3	1-4	5-4	0-3
Blue Jays	5-6	3-5	2-1	4-5	1-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	4-8	3-4	1-4	3-6	1-2
Blue Jays	4-7	4-4	0-3	4-5	0-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 6th	TOR	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	TOR -109
Jul 6th	TOR	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7	SEA -135
Jul 4th	BAL	W 7-3	+1.5 W	O 7	SEA +130
Jul 4th	BAL	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 7	BAL -148
Jul 3rd	BAL	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 7	BAL -111

Jose Berrios
SP
Berrios is out with elbow
Out
Anthony Santander
RF
Santander is out with shoulder
Out
Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Bowden Francis
SP
Francis is out with shoulder
Out
Trey Yesavage
SP
Yesavage is out with shoulder
Out

Miles Mastrobuoni
3B
Mastrobuoni is out with calf
Out
Bryce Miller
SP
Miller is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Berrios, P	98	6	10	4
RN.Pearson, P	12	1	1	0
RZ.Pop, P	11	0.2	0	0
LB.Little, P	7	0.1	0	0
RC.Green, P	22	1	2	0
LG.Cabrera, P	22	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	1-5	1	1	3
2S.Horwitz, 1B	3-5	0	0	0
3V.Guerrero, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
4J.Turner, DH	0-5	0	0	0
5B.Bichette, SS	1-4	1	0	0
6D.Varsho, LF	1-4	0	0	1
7A.Kirk, C	1-3	1	0	1
7D.Jansen, PR	0-0	0	0	0
7D.Jansen, C	0-0	0	0	0
8L.Jimenez, 2B	2-3	1	0	0
8S.Berroa, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8D.Schneider, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
9K.Kiermaier, CF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Kirby, P	93	6	8	3
RR.Stanek, P	22	1	1	1
RA.Voth, P	20	1	1	0
RA.Munoz, P	9	1	0	0
RC.Snider, P	26	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	1-6	0	0	0
2M.Garver, DH	2-5	1	1	3
3C.Raleigh, C	2-6	0	0	0
4L.Raley, LF	1-5	0	0	0
4L.Raley, CF	1-5	0	0	0
5T.France, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
6J.Rojas, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Polanco, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7R.Bliss, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8D.Canzone, RF	1-3	1	0	0
8M.Haniger, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9V.Robles, CF	1-1	2	1	1
9J.Rodriguez, PH	0-0	0	0	0
9D.Moore, PR	1-1	0	0	0
9D.Moore, LF	1-1	0	0	0