Brewers vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 12, 2025

Brewers' offense due for breakout – 4.61 runs/game, despite slump. Yelich heating up, hitting home runs. Guardians' key hitters like Kwan (.331) and Manzardo (9 HRs) show offensive spark. Recent performance, including 20-11 record in last 31 games, backs offensive capability. Peralta's injury concern – 2.18 ERA solid, but coming off groin strain. Could limit his outing or effectiveness, adding pressure to Brewers’ bullpen (4.65 ERA). Lively's struggles vs Brewers – 0-4, 3.38 ERA against them. Recent trends lean towards over – Cleveland's last 8 games saw over hit more than half the time. Brewers’ offensive potential combined with pitching issues creates a strong case for high-scoring game

This is strictly based on the huge pitching advantage that the Brewers have here. Peralta has reduced his walk rate a little this year which has been a major problem over the past couple years. He has a 2.18 ERA and doesn’t allow a lot of hard contact. Which is the exact opposite for Lively for CLE. He has a 3.46 ERA which isn’t bad but he’s gotten kind of lucky this year as he’s getting hit hard. He has an expected ERA of 4.55 which means he’s due for some negative regression. Taking the better pitcher here

Flat to -140